The coalition is quiet only until the coronavirus is defeated; perhaps even fatal clashes will ripen in the future

There will be conflicts

Lauras Bielinis, a professor and political scientist at Vytautas Magnus University (VMU), said that the beginning of cooperation between the three political forces was not bad at all.

“Any coalition must inevitably show not only consensus, but we can also discover some disagreements and contradictions there. This is normal. In fact, I would be more surprised if they decided everything in a balanced way, doing everything in unison, without arguing. This is not the one. case, ”said political scientist L. Bielinis about the disagreements of the coalition partners.

The interlocutor stressed that disagreements occur in “any combination of coalition.”

The new ruling majority, which started a few months ago, is working in pandemic conditions, communication has not been established within the factions, said L. Bielinis.

“I think we will see that. Today, my head is still going through a test of strength, both in one group and another. A certain hierarchy of internal relations has not yet been established, the objectives and strategic provisions of the opposition. That is why we see that you would not say confused, but not so brilliant, group activities. Let us not forget that the pandemic also puts its stamp on it “, – the political scientist L. Bielinis evaluated the current work of politicians.

The Freedom Party announces that it will register the Association Law at the Seimas working session starting in March. L. Bielinis stated that this issue will initiate many discussions within the coalition.

“I think they will go up, there will be many discussions about this law, not only within the coalition, but also in the Seimas. So we see a long story here. I think the discussion will be bright enough, “he promised.

It still doesn’t seem level

Vytautas University political scientist Magnus L. Bielinis claimed that political movements would become more active in the run-up to elections. However, he called on all political forces to work actively without waiting for the elections.

“Before the elections, all political forces begin to show character, whether or not they are their job. I believe that victory is strategically achieved by those who do not calm down from day one, show activity, make different laws and discuss all possible projects. That political group that today may seem calm, will show passivity rather than seriousness or self-confidence. “The voters don’t like it, the politicians don’t like it,” he said.

The political scientist agreed that the partners of the ruling coalition are not looking even for the moment. According to the interlocutor L. Bielinis, the representatives of the Freedom Party stand out.

Still, he urged not to “rule out” a somewhat calmer-looking liberal movement.

“It just came to our notice then. I think liberals may take longer to move, but their inertia is stronger.” Delphi said L. Bielinis, a political scientist at Vytautas Magnus University.

Who benefits?

Šarūnas Liekis, a professor at Vytautas Magnus University (VMU) and political scientist, said that the new ruling majority had not yet fallen into major crises.

“They have their own plan, so far these crises have not happened. The government is not popular either. They don’t have a serious pillow there. If there were any crises, it would be the stability of the coalition that would be compromised. Perhaps then you will start looking for new ones. partners “, Delphi Š said. Liekis.

As another possible reason why the rulers’ work is still “covered in roses”, Š. Liekis named the contribution of the opposition.

“The opposition has not yet consolidated and has not started working seriously. Then it will be more serious. Because now the Social Democrats have become very active, there is constructive criticism, ”said the interlocutor.

He considered that political movements would begin to lose popularity. The interlocutor also stated that it would no longer be useful for the ruling coalition to be together just before the Seimas elections.

“It just came to our attention then. It will not necessarily pay for the conservatives to be with them. Here, the processes will be very dynamic: how to divide the entire right-wing electorate and how to remain popular,” explained political scientist Š. Liekis.

The political scientist said that the real strength of the ruling coalition framework would be demonstrated by conceptual problems in the future. That’s because of the higher education system.

“So far, the government is functioning in a stable enough way, without major challenges. The lack of opposition is also a plus for them. And there are no major shocks. (…) And when the coronavirus is defeated, then the real beauty will begin” . Delphi declared the political scientist Š. Liekis.

Everything will be demonstrated by the management of the coronavirus pandemic

Associate Professor at Mykolas Romeris University (MRU), Political Scientist Virgis Valentinavičius Delphi He argued that the true relationship between the coalition partners would emerge once the coronavirus pandemic was over.

“The big picture so far is that there were no serious problems. The problems that could have been expected were the sponsorship of the liberal companies, the demand for tax cuts as a matter of course for them. They had been heard at first, now it was muffled. In Consequently, we don’t hear those things. As a result, the corners were remembered or naturally smoothed out and those things became weaker, “he said.

V. Valentinavičius assured that at the beginning, when there is a lot of work, it is also easier to agree. However, even in managing a pandemic, the political scientist already notices divergent opinions.

“But it is already possible to hear what Minister Aušrinė Armonaitė says. She is one of the first to try to ease the quarantine conditions for companies. The opinions of her and Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė and Minister of Health Arūnas Dulkis are beginning to differ. The question is how much will stand out in the future. Because as long as the number of pandemics is high, it helps the agreement. When it improves, that friction can occur “, the political scientist mentioned possible future problems.

Interviewer V. Valentinavičius Delphi said that A. Armonaitė’s desire to facilitate quarantine for companies may backfire on the outcome of the match itself. According to him, the future of the coalition is based on two issues: the management of the pandemic and the economic recovery.

“If the pandemic is controlled and the economy escapes with relative ease, the future of this ruling majority will look bright enough. And if not, the culprits will be found and the relationship will be clarified,” said the MRU political scientist.

The political scientist said that the first months of working together show that the alignment of the coalition partners is quite consistent.

“The problems begin”

MRU political scientist V. Valentinavičius was also surprised by Seimas president Viktorija Čmilytė-Nielsen’s support for the idea of ​​changing alcohol bans by extending the sale of alcohol on Sundays. This idea was proposed by the representatives of the Labor Party at the beginning of the legislature.

“Considering the whole case of MG Baltic, the opportunity to remain silent has really been lost. Because to whom, if not liberals, it is better not to talk about alcohol. Because those languages ​​will seem handmade,” he said.

V. Valentinavičius stated that now these speeches have been silenced again. But when you start again, you can say that “trouble begins.”

“While the situation with a pandemic is difficult, there will be less friction, but it may begin to intensify as the situation stabilizes,” he added. Delphi said MRU political scientist V. Valentinavičius.

Asked whether the foundations of the coalition could not be shaken by the Law of Association proposed by the Freedom Party, V. Valentinavičius assured that the flanks of the Christian Democrats in the Conservative Party had diminished and diminished.

“The young generation won the elections in the National Union. And they are looking at these issues in a really more modern way,” MRU political scientist V. Valentinavičius taught his post.

Delphi He stated that the majority of the TS-LKD, the Liberal Movement and the Freedom Party in the Seimas have 72 MPs.