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“We have a unique opportunity to observe the birth and growth of liars,” the Statistics Department said in a statement.
The following is the full report:
We note that the mayor of the Širvintos Ž. The information published by Pinskuvienė contains inaccuracies that we want to deconstruct.
1. The mayor of the Širvintos district writes:
And … Relatively does not come out. Because it proves it in 14 days. there are 40 cases.
The difference is small, not a thousand, but important because with 40 cases in 14 days we are in the C3 red zone, and with 23, as much as we see in the Juvare system, we would be in the C2 zone.
Okay, an equal sign between 23 and 40 won’t help.
“It cannot be compared, but we will compare.”
In the context of quarantine (release), the most important indicator is the number of new cases in 14 days per 100 thousand. population, and this is 221 in Širvintos district.
In the illustration, meanwhile, the mayor in red describes the number of people who are currently statistically ill – 40, but at the same time he says that he is taking “40 cases in 14 days” – which does not exist at all. And as if there was not enough confusion, compare this figure with the operational data of another system -NVSC Juvare-, which in general cannot be compared because the cases do not match:
Allocation per day (Lithuanian statistics allocate 00.00–23.59, as allocated by NVSC, we cannot comment because we do not know)
· Assignment to administrative territory (Lithuanian Statistics assigns the following in order of priority: a. At the time of registration, the municipality indicated by the person in the mobile point; b. Local municipality in Lithuania, d) If this is not the case, then the municipality of the institution that commissioned the study is used;
The case itself is defined differently (Lithuanian statistics count the cases: positive laboratory tests + COVID-19 disease diagnosed by family doctors, NVSC: positive laboratory cases)
By the way, on the last day only one new positive case of COVID-19 was registered in Širvintos district.
2. The mayor of the Širvintos district refers to an interview with the director of the NVSC, in which he doubts the current methodology when comparing tomatoes with cucumbers: Yes, according to the NVSC, there were around 600 people infected with COVID-19 per day, Lithuanian Statistics reported only about 500 such cases. “
Lithuanian statistics publish new cases registered the previous day (00.00-23.59). Previous cases that are known during the declared day are retrospectively updated and assigned to the day they were registered e. in health. This prevents weekend drops in statistics, and data analysts can analyze the data assigned to the actual time of the event.
The Lithuanian Department of Statistics, following the decision of the Head of State Operations in the State of Emergency, publishes information from the primary source, i.e. health, and prepares indicators methodically (see https://osp.stat.gov. lt / covid-19-rodikliu-apibrezimai). This was done so that the data were comparable and ordered. We remind you once again that the NVSC system data and the State Data Management Information System are unmatched due to the differences:
Allocation per day (Lithuanian statistics allocate 00.00–23.59, as allocated by NVSC, we cannot comment because we do not know)
· Assignment to administrative territory (Lithuanian Statistics assigns the following in order of priority: a. At the time of registration, the municipality indicated by the person in the mobile point; b. Local municipality in Lithuania, d) If this is not the case, then the municipality of the institution that commissioned the study is used;
The case itself is defined differently (Lithuanian statistics count the cases: positive laboratory tests + COVID-19 disease diagnosed by family doctors, NVSC: positive laboratory cases)
The numbers didn’t match
The mayor of the Širvintos district told the Delfi portal this Monday morning that it was noted that the information provided in the map of general morbidity due to coronavirus in the country and the detailed data provided to the municipality of the National Center for Public Health (NVSC) are different.
The municipality specialists saw that the list of sick from the Širvintos district sent by NVSC also includes a colleague who had recovered from COVID-19 a long time ago.
Ž. According to Pinskuvienė, on Saturday the municipality continued to review the lists of the population with coronavirus in the district and ordered the medical institutions to update the information. “Some medical institutions have improved and 20 people have already decreased”, Ž. Pinskuvienė.
He wondered why, with so much money earmarked for improving various systems, there is still no unified system in the health sector; According to the mayor, if a person who has recovered in Sodra ends his period of incapacity for work, he should do so. automatically reflected in the eHealth system.
In this way, J. Pinskuvienė pointed out, the burden on doctors would be reduced. The mayor also noted that most of this inaccurate information was seen in private treatment centers. A little later, the mayor of Širvintos shared other information on Facebook: it turns out that if the patient does not personally communicate with the family doctor, the system sees him as still ill, even after the period of self-isolation.
“If you were tested for COVID-19, received a positive response but it was not communicated or reported to your GP, the fact of your recovery will not be confirmed either (and you will remain in the system as a patient). Only the GP has the right to put that important “tick”. And it doesn’t matter at all that you felt good enough to isolate yourself after receiving instructions from the NVSC, and stay and live after the allotted time of self-isolation. After all, there were many people with the asymptomatic form ”, Ž. Pinskuvienė.
According to her, a family doctor could mark each patient as healthy only if he reviewed the electronic health records of all his patients on a daily basis.
“In my opinion, especially during a pandemic, when family doctors are already working under a higher workload, such an absurd operation of the system is simply incomprehensible. Can a doctor who has between 1,000 and 2,000 enrolled patients periodically check all his cards to determine who may be ill and who already needs to be confirmed as cured? Considering how much the state has invested in improving health systems, how many projects have been implemented with solid names, it is simply difficult to understand ”, emphasizes the mayor of the Širvintos district.
Ž. According to Pinskuvienė, systems should be improved to avoid such situations.
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