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“Has Lithuania already learned the lessons of the second wave of COVID-19 in Israel? After dealing with the first wave of the pandemic, Israel launched a” quarantine “strategy from April 26 this year, and on April 27 May began all shops, bars, restaurants, schools, gyms and ….. the second week of June, rapid growth in the number of new cases of Covid -19 ”, wrote V. Kasiulevičius on Facebook.
The professor is surprised by the patience with which the Israeli prime minister waited on July 6 before beginning to impose new restrictions on meetings, restricting the activities of night bars, clubs and other institutions. The number of infectious diseases in Israel on a daily basis during peak hours exceeded 200 cases per day per 1 million inhabitants.
“The numbers seem ridiculous, but a third of those 200 people end up in hospitals every day due to more or less respiratory failure. For such an Israel, it seems like a joke to put several hundred people in hospitals every day, if it doesn’t last long. Currently, the situation has improved slightly, but despite the measures taken, so far it has not been the first, ”wrote V. Kasiulevičius.
What does fall promise?
The doctor pointed out that two excellent studies appeared two weeks ago modeling the situation for the coming autumn and winter in two northern hemisphere countries: one published by Canadian researchers in the Journal of the Canadian Medical Association, the other published by researchers from the United Kingdom. in one of The Lancet Group magazines.
According to V. Kasiulevičius, these studies very clearly emphasize that without any measures, the Covid -19 autumn / winter wave will be higher than in the spring.
“Without getting into a completely unnecessary discussion about respirators, medical masks and their benefits, I can say with certainty that there are only two ways to prevent a major crisis in the health care system: ensuring social distance between people and intensive testing. , tracing the majority of contacts and timely isolation. The best effect is obtained when both methods are used, as demonstrated by the studies cited here and many others.
Therefore, when asked if a party, a basketball game, an indoor performance with masks is safer, I usually answer: it is better to give up a party, a performance or a game. And when they tell me that NVSCs should work better, I agree that there will only be enough people there within a few weeks that after the daily number of infections exceeds 100, they will still be able to track after dozens of sick contacts, p. 5,000 contacts a day? Or maybe NVSC is a body of unlimited resources with super funding? If so, I am calm, ”wrote V. Kasiulevičius.
What should we do?
The teacher said he understood that the transfer of school activities at different levels to online it is a complex, perhaps even damaging, factor on the psyche of students and their potential achievements.
“But let’s face it and look the truth in the eye: no later than three weeks in September, we will have several sick teachers and a large number of teachers or even schools taking a balanced step towards self-isolation. Do not you seriously believe that it is really possible to create an order in the school that no one gets sick? ”Wrote V. Kasiulevičius.
The professor admitted that despite their critical attitude towards the Israeli prime minister, Israel is still a state that has built its state since 1948, it has not been occupied, and the country’s GDP far exceeds that of Lithuania, but still they were hit. by Covid-19 for the second time.
“With all due respect to the Lithuanian school, but in Israel there is probably no less order and responsibility in the educational system. Do we have to make our destiny behind the mustache? Nightclubs in basements with poor exhaust ventilation and minimal hygiene standards, companies that import drivers from Uzbekistan or Ukraine are examples of rationally and efficiently managed business, how to achieve maximum results with minimal investment, but the price is also high. Covid -19, unlike all drivers, do not feel sorry “wrote V. Kasiulevičius.
He said he wanted to respond to the European Commission’s downfall with comments that the restrictions were destroying the economy: the Swedish economy had fallen by 8.3% and Finland’s by 5.3%.
“Which country restrictions were tighter? Unfortunately, Finland. On the other hand, the UK economy is falling by as much as 21%, Spain by 22%. Maybe not the cost of quarantine, but the cost of a quarantine? pandemic? Lithuania was barely affected by the first wave of the pandemic and the economy fell by only 3.7 percent, ”wrote V. Kasiulevičius.
To the conspirator’s theorists, who say that perhaps there is no COVID-19 at all, and that all of Europe has been shut down at the behest of billionaire George Soros, the scientist responds that the Hungarian economy, which is constantly at war with Soros, fell. 13.5 percent.
“It just came to our attention then. But it can wake me up to thoughts that are appropriate, because I’m not an economist,” said V. Kasiulevičius ironically.
The situation of the doctors is not enviable
Reviewing the situation of doctors, V. Kasiulevičius affirmed that family doctors are the lowest place in the medical hierarchy, to which he belongs.
“Whatever he says on any medical subject, the answer is standard: he doesn’t understand anything because he is a GP. Taking advantage of this, I still want to “rejoice” that no one has given respirators to family doctors. Even in institutions dependent on the Ministry of Health. Probably because “those family doctors” still don’t understand anything. Simple masks will suffice.
Family Physician: the nation’s physician. It will not be able to provide respirators for all nations, and if the virus spreads in the form of aerosols, only in the treatment units of the Covid-19 support hospitals. How that. And just today I found out that doctors are already starting to get sick in outpatient clinics. “But they don’t work with COVID-19 !!!” the ministry secretaries shout and the whole nation gets that message. The “families” do nothing, just sit and write !!! Sitting barricades !!! I don’t understand why I saw 13 patients today for my 0.25 workload. Maybe those patients seemed real to me? Spring mourning has to cry again in autumn ”, wrote V. Kasiulevičius.
The doctor said that he understood that the timing of the elections was very inappropriate to realize something.
“Social media is filled with a sense of victory over the ‘fake Covid-19 hysteria.’ That unbearable lightness of being. The government is concerned to show a reasonable or feigned ability to handle the situation, to show its critics the real and alleged stupidity of the government. The cost of this is not very high: people’s lives. Compared to the power provided by the government, this is completely nothing, “wrote V. Kasiulevičius.
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