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He also notes that test volumes remain the same, with fewer and fewer cases recorded and the pandemic accelerating at a record rate of -36 percent.
The vaccination rate is stable and more than 42% of the people in Lithuania already have immunity. of the total population and more than half of people over 16 years of age. The “British” strain of virus B.1.1.7 predominates throughout Lithuania, but strain B.1.620, which was registered in Anykščiai in early April, is already well established and is spreading in communities in all regions.
Forecast for the end of June
In the review of the main pandemic indicators prepared by the Government Project Manager Aistis Šimaitis, it can be seen that in Lithuania as of May 11. the number of new cases registered in 7 days almost tripled. The volume of tests remains close to 20 thousand. studies per day, the proportion of positive studies also more than doubled during this period.
The pandemic is decreasing in almost all of Lithuania, the number of new cases has decreased in 55 municipalities in 7 days, and the percentage of positive investigations – in 51 municipalities.
The acceleration of the pandemic is the lowest this year and is now -36%. According to A. Šimaiitis, if we maintain this rate of decline, we would have less than 100 cases a day at the end of June.
The number of new cases and hospital employment is decreasing in all regions of Lithuania, but deaths are decreasing so far only in the Vilnius region.
This dynamic is likely, since the peak of hospitalizations lags behind the peak of cases by about two weeks and the number of deaths by three. The review notes that we are likely to see a reduction in COVID-19 related deaths in all regions over the next 10 days.
As can be seen from the review of secotat prepared by Gytis Dudas, a researcher at A.Šimaiitis and the World Biodiversity Center in Gothenburg, the “British” strain (B.1.1.7) of the virus is prevalent throughout Lithuania, but the B strain .1.620, which was registered in Anykščiai in early April, is already established and widespread in communities in all regions.
