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“We have to realize that Lithuania is in an incredibly difficult situation and we will see from our actions what we will do now in a week or two,” M. Stankūnas told reporters on Monday.
“We have to think about whether a visit to the mall or another place is necessary for us,” he added.
The LSMU professor, along with other members of the Council of Health Experts, presented the COVID-19 situation to the President, Prime Minister and Minister of Health on Monday.
According to the expert, it is important at this time to focus and understand that visits to supermarkets contribute to increased morbidity.
“All Lithuanian celebrities and stars must say that their visit to the mall contributes to the fact that we have a situation like we have now,” said M. Stankūnas.
“People are spawned in grocery stores”
Algis Džiugys, an expert from the Lithuanian Institute of Energy, says that people have been visiting grocery stores more often lately.
“People bought less in stores that were not food, had less work, spent more time at home, but generated more in grocery stores,” the expert told reporters.
He said he trusted Google’s mobility data. According to the expert, the largest movement of people is in Alytus County.
“As a result, we have an increase in infections in Alytus County,” said A. Džiugys.
According to the expert, if people were to interact intensively during the holidays, the number of cases in mid-January would be around 2.5 thousand, and if the tightening of the quarantine can be met, the number of cases should decrease.
“The most optimistic forecast, when the population honestly sticks to the previously introduced quarantine and now tightens, the number of infections should start to fall and we should have 1 to 1.5 thousand by the end of January. cases, “said A. Džiugys.
According to him, according to the pessimistic forecast, the number of patients with COVID-19 in the country’s hospitals could rise to 3.3 thousand by mid-January.
M. Stankūnas: Forecasts depend on society
LSMU professor Mindaugas Stankūnas says the forecasts are realistic, but it will depend on how society follows the rules.
“I think it is very likely, but all forecasts are based on one simple factor: how the public will follow the quarantine rules,” Stankūnas said.
“It will be a key factor in making those predictions come true,” he added.
According to the professor, health experts are positive and believe that the optimistic scenario will come true.
“We believe that a significant proportion of people will adhere to the quarantine and it will be effective,” said the LSMU professor.
Since then, the government has prohibited people from leaving their township without good reason, it will not operate a grocery store, but will allow family members or two people who do not live together to walk in open public places.
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