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Key indicators
2021 January 1 2 million people lived in Lithuania. 795.2 thousand permanent residents – 1.1 thousand. more than a year ago, according to preliminary data, reports Statistics Lithuania. The COVID-19 pandemic affected all demographic characteristics of the country.
2020 The change in the number of permanent residents was influenced by positive net international migration: 20 thousand. more people immigrated than emigrated – and the negative natural population change – 18.9 thousand. more people died than babies were born.
2021 At the beginning of the year, 1 million people lived in Lithuanian cities. 885.9 thousand (67.5%) of the population, in the town – 909.3 thousand. (32.4%). Women made up 53 percent. of all permanent residents, 1 thousand. there were 1,128 women.
Inga Masiulaitytė-Šukevič, Deputy Director General for Statistics of Lithuania, presented preliminary preliminary demographic indicators at a press conference.
“Population growth was last recorded in 1992. In the last 3 decades, the population has decreased by 25 percent,” said a representative from the Department of Statistics.
Fewer were born, more died
2020 24.5 thousand were born. babies, that’s 2.9 thousand. (10.6%) less than in 2019 and in 2020. 1000 the population was 8.8 births (9.8 in 2019).
The fewest babies have been born since 1990. Most of the children were born in July-August, the fewest in February-March.
2020 43.4 thousand died. people, that’s 5.1 thousand. (13.3%) more than in 2019. Number of deaths per thousand. the population increased from 13.7 (2019) to 15.5 (2020).
This is the largest increase in deaths per year since 1990.
Most of the people died in November and December of last year.
On average, about 3.6 thousand people died per month. people.
In November 4.3 thousand were registered. deaths, in December this number was even higher: 5.8 thousand. people.
More foreigners immigrated and citizens of the Republic of Lithuania returned
2020 43,1 thousand immigrated to Lithuania. people – 3 thousand. (7.5 percent) more than in 2019.
Number of immigrants per thousand. the population increased from 14.3 (2019) to 15.4 (2020).
2020 20,8 thousand returned to live in Lithuania. Citizens of the Republic of Lithuania, it is 0.4 thousand. (2%) more than in 2019. It is 2020. It represented almost half (48.3%) of all immigrants.
2020 22.3 thousand immigrated to the country. foreigners, it is 2.6 thousand. (13.2%) more than in 2019. Most (9.3 thousand, or 41.8%) in 2020 of them were citizens of Ukraine, 7.3 thousand.
(32.7%) – Belarus, one thousand. (4.4%) – Russia. Compared with 2019, the number of immigrant citizens of Belarus increased 1.1 times, the number of Ukrainian citizens by 5%, and the number of Russian citizens decreased by 3.2%.
Emigration was decreasing
2020 23,1 thousand emigrated from Lithuania. permanent residents of the country, it is 6.2 thousand. (21.2%) less than in 2019. Number of emigrants per thousand. the population decreased from 10.5 (2019) to 8.3 (2020).
Last year, 6 thousand. (26.2%) emigrants went to the United Kingdom, 3.8 thousand. (16.6 percent) – to Ukraine, 2.1 thousand. (9.1 percent) – to Belarus, 1.8 thousand. (7.7%) – to Germany, 1.7 thousand. (7.3%) to Norway. The number of emigrants to the UK, compared to 2019, decreased by 4.1 thousand. (40.3%), to Germany – 0.8 thousand. (31.1%), to Norway – 0.7 thousand. (28.9 percent), and increased to Ukraine – 1.6 thousand. (1.7 times), Belarus – 1 thousand. (1.9 times).
Fewer people got married, fewer got divorced
2020 15.2 thousand were registered. marriages and 7.4 thousand. divorce.
The number of marriages, compared to 2019, decreased by 4.3 thousand. (22.1%), divorces – 1.3 thousand. (14.9%). The number of divorces per 100 marriages increased from 44.5 (2019) to 48.9 (2020).
Most of the couples were married in July-September, the fewest between January and April.
On average, around 600 couples get divorced per month, mainly between October and December.
Illusions of improving demographics are dissipating
Researcher at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Germany, Scientific Director of the Center for Demographic Research and Experience, prof. Expert. Dr. Domantas Jasilionis stated that the latest statistics dispel illusions about the country’s exit from the demographic well.
“It has become an illusion for many that our country is successfully emerging from the so-called demographic well. (…) More arrivals than departures. This positive news, along with the leitmotif that migration can address demographic challenges, began to dominate also the public sphere. What is it really like? Looking deeper and closer, unfortunately, those illusions are dissipating, “said D. Jasilionis at the press conference.
He argued that the general population dynamics of the country is determined by the totality of demographic processes: births, deaths and migration.
“We must start with the birth rate, because it is the absolute number of births and the scheduling of the future population that largely determines the age structure of the population. And in recent years, we have registered the fewest births. . (…) This means that approximately each annual figure indicates the number of children who will go to school after about 6 years and who will enter the study or the labor market after 16-18 ”, said the expert.
“The quarantine has consequences in both directions. We will finally see it in a few months. But the consequences of the economic pandemic in the coming years are likely to have negative consequences for the birth rate,” he predicted.
This, according to the expert, also predicts a drop in the number of new marriages.
D. Jasilionis stated that emigration marks fundamental changes.
“We started hearing about the breakthrough in emigration and demographic change in the media comments. But looking deeper, can we discuss a fundamental change? According to demographers, it is too early to talk about it. And the main The problem is that emigration is still high ”, he explained.
Population decline may be even greater
I. Masiulaitytė-Šukevič, Lithuania’s Deputy Director General for Statistics, said at a press conference on Thursday that the long-term forecast now presented to Lithuania may worsen, taking into account the situation of the coronavirus pandemic.
Eurostat has predicted that Lithuania will have a population of 2.138 million in 2050. But the situation of the pandemic has not yet been taken into account when making these predictions. They will probably still be controlled in light of all the changes in the world. (…) If the trends do not change, the number of births will not increase, the population decline will be even stronger than before ”, informed a representative of Statistics Lithuania on the long-term forecasts at the press conference.
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