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Many factors will determine
“It just came to our attention then. Whether the second wave will be or not, whether it will be high or low. It is very difficult to predict, but the lessons we have learned allow us to assume that if the second wave hits us, we can control it better.” said Professor Dr. A. Mickienė.
– There are all kinds of hypotheses, predictions that are judged by current knowledge, but it is not necessarily 100 percent. It will be OK. There are several possible scenarios. “
The doctor says that one scenario may be that the circulation of the virus will increase in the fall.
“Coronaviruses prefer the fall season,” said the professor. Dr. A. Mickienė.
The infectologist said that it could also be the case that COVID-19 circulates in society without such clear seasonality.
Auksė Mickienė
© Photo of the organizers
“It is difficult to say how it will really be. Of course, everything will also depend on the movement of people. The borders are opening, but people want to return to a normal life, which will inevitably increase the risk,” says the doctor.
According to prof. Dr. A. Mickienė, how things will turn out, will depend on several factors.
We all have to prepare
In any case, says the infectologist, we all have to prepare for fall and this year, more than ever in a responsible way.
The director of the LSMU Infectious Disease Clinic says that she and her colleagues are preparing for the second wave of coronavirus, but now they feel much stronger because so many lessons have been learned.
Furthermore, the doctor says that society itself has made a significant contribution to controlling the spread of the coronavirus: people have listened to and followed the recommendations of specialists.
“We know that the virus continues to circulate, that immunity develops, but not for long,” said the infectologist.
The doctor notes that even in Sweden, where public immunity was sought by overwhelming more people, protection was only around 6%. human populations
“Very similar data in other countries, which means that it is not the case that community immunity has developed and perhaps the virus simply no longer becomes infected, because a large proportion of people already have immunity.” No, this is not the case, it seems that immunity develops slowly and on a small scale, which means that you will probably have to live with this pathogen until vaccines are developed, “said Prof. Dr. A. Mickienė.
During the interview, Professor A. Mickienė conveyed an important message: You need to get a flu shot this fall.
“Influenza vaccines arrive in Lithuania approximately in September and this year it is necessary to vaccinate against influenza, whoever can,” emphasized the infectologist.
The doctor says that two pathogens, COVID-19 and influenza, can circulate in society in the fall. During the flu season, many people enter hospitals, including in the intensive care unit, due to the flu and its complications, mainly due to pneumonia.
Vaccinating people against the flu would reduce the risk of at least one illness, since the flu vaccine can protect against possible complications and death.
“This year, the preparation for the fall must be very responsible and much more responsible than in previous years, because we are talking about the same system congestion, departments, resuscitations,” says the professor. Dr. A. Mickienė.
How to behave in society now?
The doctor’s advice to the public is not to be afraid, but to look at everything responsibly, listen to what specialists recommend, stay away from other people when necessary / necessary: wear masks.
Health Minister Aurelius Veryga first advises careful travel options.
“Perhaps he will refrain from taking more trips where there may be problems when he returns. Not only can the disease be transmitted, but it can be transmitted to others; you may have to isolate yourself at home for two weeks, “said the minister.
The SAM manual also encourages the public to responsibly assess perceived symptoms. “If you do, don’t go to work, don’t go to events, celebrations,” Veryga said.
– If the temperature rises or there are other symptoms, we must protect each other, and if we visit places where we believe there is a greater risk, where there are more people, use personal protective equipment, wear a mask, such as on public transport or where else. “
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