In COVID-19 statistics, the balag: data released daily this week is not accurate



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Birutė Stolytė, a specialist in the Department of Statistics, says that the National Center for Public Health (NVSC) is responsible for the discrepancies and that the data published in the graphs should not be trusted.

For its part, NVSC claims that e-health activities have been disrupted.

Incomplete data

The situation 15 minutes commenting B. Stolytė stated that the COVID-19 statistics, which are distributed by Statistics Lithuania by email, post and what is subsequently published by the media can be trusted, although it is also inaccurate.

“It just came to our attention then. One hundred percent accurate information is not available in the tables above. Depending on specific days, [duomenys] not completely accurate. They may be from other days, “said the specialist, adding that the data on COVID-19 cases published this week are inaccurate.

Statistics Department info / Positive cases of COVID-19 in December

Statistics Department info / Positive cases of COVID-19 in December

According to B. Stolytė, there are also inaccuracies in the graphs.

“There may be discrepancies with those schedules <...> and I don’t know when we will fix it, ”said the specialist, explaining where these discrepancies come from.

“On December 29, NVSC did not receive any information due to some technical problems and all those figures reached 30 days,” said B. Stolytė. “Yesterday there was a duplication of data, resulting in a large number of about 4,000 cases.”

B.Stolytė did not evaluate NVSC’s work: “I don’t know what to say. It would be wrong to comment. “

NVSC: disorders were in eHealth

The Statistics Department also reported on the discrepancies in the data on Thursday morning, when it released statistics for the previous day’s cases.

“The discrepancies between today’s COVID-19 statistics and yesterday’s statistics are due to technical failures in the NVSC system. The average number of cases on the last day of the week is 2,372, “the department said.

“Scanpix” / AP nuotr./Koronavirusas

This week, NVSC suffered a cyberattack, but the above-mentioned disorders, according to NVSC representative Austina Vžesniauskait están, are not related to him and, according to her, were recorded in the electronic health system.

“It was not a disruption for us, it was a coincidence yesterday and the disruption was in electronic health,” he told BNS.

On Wednesday, NVSC received “a lot of raw data” from e-health, said A.Vžesniauskaitė.

Daiva Bumblytė, Head of Communication at the Registry Center, which is responsible for the operation of the e-health system, told BNS that, according to initial data, there had been no disturbances, but promised to clarify the information.

“NVSC must stay away from data during cannon fire”

In response to the discrepancies in the statistics, Vaidotas Zemlys-Balevičius, a data scientist at Euromonitor International, critically commented on NVSC’s work on Facebook.

Photo by Sigismund Gedvila / 15min / Vaidotas Zemlys-Balevičius

Photo by Sigismund Gedvila / 15min / Vaidotas Zemlys-Balevičius

“Those who did not notice the NVSC work were interrupted yesterday. That is what they ‘recovered’ today. And it converted all cases from two days into a single day. Today it turns out that there is a ‘record’ of 5668 cases. When we have one institution that doesn’t even try to process the data, what about the reliability of their analyzes? ”he asked.

“Statistics from Lithuania was able to separate those data yesterday and today, because they understand that such nonsense cannot be allowed for normal analysis.” And here only berries, if the NVSC can afford such feilus make on a flat surface, what other pearls will we get?

It is very good that yesterday the Government enabled the Lithuanian statistics to process all the data related to COVID-19, because the NVSC needs to maintain the data of the cannon fire, “he added. In view of the Government’s decision to start a statistical study on coronavirus infection.

V. Zemlys-Balevičius did not deny that the NVSC has competence to do something, but it is not a statistic.

The state cannot afford to be held hostage by an incompetent institution.

“There are definitely things that NVSC still has the skills to do, and SAM’s job is to figure out what it is. But the fact is, the collection and publication of COVID-19 data cannot be included in the NVSC. “After 9 months of the epidemic, with COVID-19 we will live another year, if not more, and the state cannot afford to be held hostage by an incompetent institution,” said the scientist.

This week, the Health Ministry announced that the digitization of NVSC activities revealed 804 unaccounted deaths related to the coronavirus.

Regarding the situation, the Minister of Health ordered the Director of the NVSC to submit a detailed assessment of the situation in writing, and Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė stated that the management of the NVSC should be responsible for the situation.

NVSC: one institution cannot control the whole situation

For its part, the NVSC explained that the discrepancies in the death statistics were not the fault of the center, that due to the heavy workload, the treatment institutions did not provide information on the deaths or that it was delayed.

On Thursday, NVSC staff wrote to the Prime Minister, the Minister of Health and the public.

“Constant and unfounded criticism of the institution and its manager interrupts the work of the NVSC, which is already bearing an unbearable burden; it generates public distrust, making it especially difficult for NVSC employees to work during this difficult period. This too it has a very negative effect on all the institution’s employees, who personally accept this criticism, because they work together with the manager and make decisions together, ”the letter reads.

Constant and unfounded criticism of the institution and its manager disrupt the work of the NVSC, which already carries an unbearable burden.

Now, according to NVSC staff, is not the best time to find culprits and discuss the lack of preparation for the second wave.

“We agree that the overall performance of the country in managing the pandemic is not good, but it must be understood that an institution with limited resources cannot handle such a level of emergency. This must be the result of the joint work of all authorities. competent, ”the staff said.

With all the content of the letter you can find here.



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