[ad_1]
Saulius Čaplinskas, director of the Center for Communicable Diseases and AIDS, says that it is only now, in December, that the season for the spread of the coronavirus in Lithuania begins.
“In other words, during December, January and February, we can expect the growth of the coronavirus to spread, grow and increase,” he warned.
According to the professor, coronaviruses are more common in people in winter and early spring.
“They cause about 20 percent. Colds and ranks second after rhinoviruses. There are more than 30 of these species, but only three or four affect humans, causing mild symptoms. The exception is the new SARS. -CoV-2, which causes COVID-19, which is already well known ”, he explained.
Many unknowns
However, the infectious doctor prof. Vytautas Usonis stated that until now no one really knows how the virus will spread, because it will be years before we live with it.
“At the end of December, the beginning of January will be only one year since the virus appeared in general, so no one knows yet the season of spread. When viruses occur, if there is a pandemic, there is always the first wave at the beginning It was in our spring in Lithuania. Whenever there were few infected people, the infection also rotted and spread throughout the country during the summer. And now we have what we have, “he said.
But the professor said he has repeatedly cited a study of Americans who have worked with other coronaviruses.
“The seasonal peak of coronavirus is found to be in January-February. It is very worrying what it will be like here when January, February comes. Because so far, the data in that article also seems to fit perfectly with this SARS-CoV-2 virus. But We will see what will happen in January, “said V. Usonis.
According to the doctor, although the family of coronaviruses is quite numerous, in the past several viruses have circulated in our society, which usually cause serious cold infections in children.
“It just came to our knowledge then. And it is known from the fact that the seasonality of the flu has been studied and other possible pathogens, including coronaviruses, have been studied to confirm the disease,” he explained.
Endless viruses are rampant
At the same time, S. Čaplinskas recalled that now is the time when many other viruses are being activated, which can manifest themselves in very similar symptoms: itchy or sore throat and other annoying symptoms.
“You are likely to encounter one of the following types again in the near future: rhinovirus, coronavirus, RSV (respiratory syncytial virus), and parainfluenza. There are still many viruses that doctors cannot detect. In adults, they cause about 20 to 30 percent. colds About 10 to 15 percent. Viruses that cause colds in adults can also cause other more serious respiratory illnesses. Cold viruses have a lot in common, but there are also many differences between them, ”he said.
The interlocutor recalled that rhinoviruses are most active in early autumn, spring and summer. Cause 10 to 40 percent. colds, and in the fall, even about 90 percent.
“The good news is that they rarely get tough. RSV and parainfluenza cause 20 percent. colds Its spread is most active in April and May. It sometimes causes serious infections, like pneumonia, in young children, ”he explained.
V. Usonis also noted that the seasonality of all colds and flu viruses is similar:
“It’s January, February, maybe in a year the virus spreads at one time and another at another time, but obviously there is never a flu season during the summer, always in the winter. Only a year before, others later can be. And there are more viruses of this type. “
The myth of getting sick from the cold
S. Čaplinskas emphasized that the same viruses that cause colds in adults cause colds in children:
“The relative importance of different viruses in children’s colds is unclear, because when studying children with colds, it is often difficult to distinguish the exact cause of symptoms.”
He also added that there is no evidence that a cold can be caused by the effects of cold, cold, or overheating.
“Another myth that colds can be caused by diet, large tonsils, or adenoids. On the other hand, research shows that stress and allergies in the nose or throat can increase the risk of getting colds, ”he said.
Predicts a lower incidence of other diseases
Ginreta Megelinskienė, a specialist in the Communicable Disease Management Department of the National Center for Public Health (NVSC), has already noted that comparing the situation of communicable diseases this year and last year shows a significant decrease in the incidence of other communicable diseases .
“It is real that the masks work, the disinfection. And this year’s flu season was much easier than previous ones, because additional measures were applied, ”he emphasized.
Specialists at the National Public Health Center (NVSC) have already warned that the restrictions imposed by stopping the coronavirus should ease the flu season this year as well.
An example is Australia, where the flu season, which started in the spring and ended in the fall, where the number of patients was incredibly low. In total, only 107 people are said to have been ill, compared to hundreds of thousands of people in Australia last flu season.
[ad_2]
