[ad_1]
The scenario is based on the number of COVID-19 cases recorded between August 24 and November 6. It sets out how the virus could continue to spread from now until March. The scenario predicts that the peak will be reached in mid-December.
It is true that Johan Carlson, director of the Public Health Agency, emphasizes that the scenario can change depending on the situation.
“It is a scenario, not a prediction,” Carlson told a news conference, adding that the coronavirus is a new virus, so it is impossible to compare how it evolved before. For this reason, it remains to depend on mathematical models based on what we know about the situation now. The situation largely depends on external factors.
According to Carlson, the model is based on the assumption that people will follow existing recommendations: they will keep their distances, avoid meetings, limit close social contacts, communicate only in “bubbles.” If this is not the case, the consequences could be much more sad.
“Remember the number eight,” said Prime Minister Stefan Löfven, who attended the same press conference. Sweden bans public events in which more than eight people participate, but the government says it is disappointed that the rule applies to all situations without exception.
Löfven also urged people to shop before Christmas to avoid congestion in stores.
The new scenario was developed at the request of the government. The Public Health Agency has instructions to update it monthly. The aim of this scenario is to help other Swedish authorities develop contingency plans for the coronavirus.
Although the scenario predicts that the peak will be reached in a few weeks, this does not mean that the virus should disappear in the near future. The scenario also predicts that the spread of the virus will continue to be more intense than in the summer until the end of February.
Sweden does not expect vaccination of risk groups to be possible until January.
This article is from the scandinavia.today portal. Copying without permission is prohibited.
[ad_2]
