Autumn predicts dire: if sick Wuhan strain 3 infected, then delta – 7



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As the disease grows, Santara clinics are already announcing tension in resuscitation (beds full of coronavirus patients), 9 out of 10 have not been vaccinated.

The situation at the Santara clinics is tense, with ambulances transporting coronavirus patients to full reception and resuscitation beds. Eight coronavirus-infected patients fight for life in resuscitation, leaving a free bed. By capturing the growing flow of COVID-19 patients, doctors see in the palm of their hand how many critically ill unvaccinated patients are hospitalized.

Feliksas Jankevičius, director of the Santara clinics, says: “Almost 100 percent of these patients are not vaccinated. Well, maybe one of the others who got infected immediately got a second dose of the vaccine before his immune response kicked in. That’s the difference from the situation we had last fall. “

It is true that the situation in western Lithuania is even more complicated.

The director of the Santara clinics is already talking about the need to expand the number of resuscitation beds for empty patients soon. As a result, scheduled services will suffer and will likely have to be cut in September.

In western Lithuania, worse

It is true that the situation in western Lithuania is even worse. Less than half of the population of the Plungė District Municipality has been vaccinated against COVID-19. Doctors do not wrap words in cotton wool and say openly that the current situation is a pandemic of unvaccinated patients.

“There are more unvaccinated people, our area is so exceptional that probably many antivirals are. And the situation is really complicated, because people are reluctant to get vaccinated,” says Danguolė Luotienė, deputy director.

And morbidity continues to rise rapidly across the country, as the delta strain is spreading much faster than before. During the last day, 560 new cases of coronavirus were detected in Lithuania and 46 seriously ill people were admitted to hospitals.

According to Saulius Čaplinskas, a doctor of medical sciences, if a person with the original Wuhan strain infected an average of 3 people, then a person with the delta virus infects up to 7 people. And this is because the delta variant only needs to inhale 10 times fewer particles for a person to become infected.

Saulius Čaplinskas

Saulius Čaplinskas, Doctor of Medical Sciences, says: “As long as the virus is a medium in which it spreads, there are many susceptible people who have not yet acquired immunity with the help of vaccines or they get sick. This virus will definitely use it and spread it. The number of newly infected people can grow quite quickly. “

According to the Statistics Department, two-thirds of people over the age of 18 have already been vaccinated against the coronavirus in Lithuania, and just over 3 percent have developed COVID-19 in the past 180 days and developed immunity.

It is true that scientists warn that this percentage is not enough to stop the spread of the delta strain of coronavirus.

Juozas Augutis, member of the Council of Health Experts, assures that in a few weeks the situation will get complicated:

Juozas Augutis

According to the Ministry of Health, the most important task now is to encourage as many people as possible to get vaccinated against COVID-19. Otherwise, the virus will spread uncontrollably, hospital admissions will be overcrowded only for coronavirus patients, resuscitation will lack beds, and patients with common illnesses will not receive medical care.

Ginreta Megelinskienė, Head of the Department of Health Promotion, says: “The main objective is that health institutions do not break down and do not experience a burden as during previous waves. We already heard that the resuscitation beds are filling up, the hospital beds, we have a difficult situation ”.

Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė says: “We are observing the acceleration, we have around 10 thousand people recently vaccinated a day. This is important because 40 to 50 new patients go to the hospital every day, they need hospitals. “

However, the scientists’ forecasts are grim: autumn is difficult, because after the holidays, schoolchildren and students will die, then the virus will spread even faster, because some people in this age group have not been vaccinated. .

According to the National Center for Public Health, workers in the manufacturing and commercial sectors are currently the most affected.

Rolanda Lingienė, head of the Vilnius department, says: “I am mostly ill in the spheres of trade, production and service, where telework is not possible, unavoidable contacts. And there are very few outbreaks in health care institutions. “

Roland Lingienė

It is true that the Ministry of Health is already considering a third dose of coronavirus. Currently, only people who are seriously ill after an organ transplant are vaccinated. According to the ministry, the third dose is scheduled to be vaccinated in October or November.



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