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Ž. Maurice spoke on the show that birth rates should not be expected to increase this winter, approximately 9 months after quarantine.
“Well, I think the winter birth rate should be below average. Because the decision to have children is also determined by the economy. And with the high level of uncertainty in the economy, people postpone that decision. Or, in general, you decide not to have any more children or children at all. However, the good news is that a lot of research shows that, even when I was very old, I looked at the data and the pandemics, post-World War I economic crises, it is later that the birth rate recovers.
And recover more than it was before the crisis. General birth rates often increase. (…) I think winter should be poor enough in terms of the number of newborns, but already next summer, next fall, next year, there is likely to be a higher birth rate due to those emotions positive, “said economist Ž. Mauricas
At the same time, he explains that there will be better birth rates only if the pandemic is overcome.
“There is also a psychological aspect. Because during a pandemic, during other disasters, there is more talk about health, medical care, human life. This perhaps catches the attention of families and encourages them to have more children. We will probably have a small jump this winter, followed by a faster recovery, “said the economist.
Sigismund Mauricas
He said that the birth rate will also depend a lot on emigration: if the wave of emigration resumes and is the same as in 2009-2011, it is likely that the birth rate is not happy or that children are born outside of Lithuania.
“The birth rate in Samogitia is much higher than the Lithuanian average. If Samogitia were a separate region, it would be the highest birth rate in the entire European Union. Pretty impressive numbers. And this is probably due to the low population density, the smaller the population, the more they want to expand and increase their family, “said the interlocutor.
Ž. Mauricas joked that Samogitia would disappear in the end.
“There is a great contrast if we compare Samogitia with Aukštaitija, Utena County, shall we say. There, the birth rate is almost double. Even if we disappear like Lithuania, Samogitia will disappear for the last time, ”joked the economist Ž. Mauricas
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