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“It is likely that tomorrow morning we will hear that in Lithuania on the 14th. Number of new cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 inhabitants Exceeded 500 and this will mean the return of our country to the” black zone “. Well, maybe tomorrow we may avoid it “through Mary’s hair,” but on Saturday we will definitely be where we last visited on January 30, “the professor wrote on Facebook Thursday.
According to him, 958 COVID-19 patients are currently being treated at the hospital, which is the same as in the first week of February.
“The best ‘level’ we achieved was March 15-21, when about 750 patients were treated. T. and. +20 percent with ‘magary.” We have 104 COVID-19 patients in resuscitation. This is pretty much too an indicator from the beginning of February, and on the days that I mentioned in March, it was around 80. Also +20 percent with “magary”, explains M. Stankūnas.
Stankūnas hopes that the acceleration of vaccination will make it possible to achieve public immunity by July, but at least in the near future, in his opinion, the number of new virus cases detected per day due to quarantine releases should increase significantly.
“It just came to our attention then. However, after today’s government decision, only one rodent was left out of quarantine. The stages of launching the various activities are clearly identified with the dates. From a purely point of view Mathematician, these launches should translate into an increase in new cases. I will be precise that this should lead to +3000 new cases of COVID-19 per day at the beginning of May “, predicts the expert.
Mindaugas Stankūnas
“Massive testing helps control, but not enough to have low morbidity rates. Vaccination will not work as strongly yet. Looking at the Israeli experience, we need at least 40 percent. vaccinated people. We are still halfway there and we will only reach this figure with the most optimistic plans in late May or early June. Vaccination can now allow us to expect less workload and deaths in the hospital sector, ”he says.
Mr. Stankūnas admits that he is looking forward to the next few weeks.
“We will probably not find any country in the world that has liberalized activities with +500 / 100,000 cases of COVID-19 and a positive growth trend. Doesn’t the Government of the Republic of Lithuania behave irresponsibly? – I don’t think so Or maybe too daring? “Um … maybe,” the professor writes on Facebook.
“Lithuania is really showing great courage in choosing that path. But at the same time a lot of trust in its citizens. I have said for a long time that pandemics are not overcome by politicians and experts … ordinary people overcome them. So Please let us show that we are not only brave but also responsible, ”he says.
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