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Photo by Judita Grigelytė (VŽ).
413 new cases of coronavirus were confirmed in Lithuania on Monday. That is less than the recently recorded daily records. The highest number was found on Sunday: 766.
Added: The highest number of infected people was recorded in Vilnius and Kaunas counties.
However, according to the National Public Health Center (NVSC), another 5 people died from coronavirus per day in the country.
The total number of confirmed cases rose to 11,362 and the number of coronavirus deaths on Tuesday to 141. A total of 48 more coronavirus infections died from other causes.
According to data from Tuesday, there are 6,844 sick people in Lithuania, 4,329 have recovered and 27,714 people are in isolation.
Starting June 1. 391 import cases were identified.
On Monday, 9,390 samples were analyzed in Lithuania, and a total of 964,352 samples have been analyzed since the start of the pandemic.
[infogram id=”bd0832e1-aeca-44ad-ad8d-581cc73e80d4″ prefix=”7ix” format=”interactive” title=”Koronavirusas: 10 27″]342 people are being treated for COVID-19 in Lithuanian hospitals, 32 of them in resuscitation, the Health Ministry announced on Tuesday.
According to her, 133 patients are being treated with oxygen masks and another 15 people are undergoing artificial lung ventilation.
Of the nearly 17,300 beds in all hospitals, more than 10,400 are currently occupied. Resuscitation beds are occupied by just over half: 368 of the 656 existing.
Of the 597 beds with artificial lung ventilation, 196 are occupied, of the 6,200 beds with oxygen occupied, about 2,000.
Many fireplaces are associated with leisure and hospitals.
The highest number of newly infected people was recorded in Vilnius county: 108, Kaunas county, 104, Šiauliai county, 90, Klaipėda, 52, NVSC reports.
Of the total infections confirmed the day before, 319 cases are currently under epidemiological diagnosis. Most of them (253 cases) became infected after contact with a known patient, 66 the circumstances of the infection are unclear.
“Since Saturday, with the help of the Lithuanian Armed Forces, epidemiological diagnoses are carried out faster. In addition, additional army and volunteer trainings are taking place throughout this week to involve more people in the process. epidemiological diagnostic tools. “Capacity building will allow even faster case investigations, which is crucial to controlling the spread of COVID-19,” the report said.
According to the NVSC, the outbreaks continue to spread in entertainment venues in Vilnius County: the reported cases are associated with outbreaks in the “Spindulys” dance studio, the capital’s basketball school, the Belcanto choir and the Youth Choir of Vilnius Cathedral. Outbreak-related cases were also recorded in the Santara clinics, the Vilnius Republic University Hospital and the Vilnius Republic Psychiatric Hospital.
In Kaunas County, the new cases are associated with outbreaks at the RIO Sports Arena, the Kaunas University Technological Engineering Lyceum, the Vilkija Daigelis Kindergarten, as well as the Kėdainiai Light Gymnasium.
In Šiauliai County, outbreak-related cases were reported at Kelmė District Lielmiai Welfare Home, Joniškis District Municipality Ambulance Station, Kelmė Hospital and Šiauliai Republican Hospital.
In Klaipėda county, new cases of infection have been identified in outbreaks in the rural community of Grūšlaukė, the Klaipėda Vėtrungė gym, the Republican hospital in Klaipėda.
The cases recorded in Panevėžys county are related to chimneys in the municipality of Panevėžys city, Energijos Skirstymo Operatorius.
Cases registered in Marijampolė County, according to epidemiologists, related to outbreaks in the Kalvarija Municipality Administration, Kazlų Rūda Social Support Center, Marijampolė Social Assistance Center.
In Tauragė County, five cases were reported last day, which are related to the outbreak at Jurbarkas Hospital. All people are employees of this institution.
Scientists warn: strict quarantine is almost inevitable
Under the most pessimistic scenario, a strict quarantine may be necessary to control the spread of COVID-19 in early November, the Lithuanian University of Health Sciences (LSMU) said on Tuesday, based on its own forecasts and those of the Institute. Lithuanian Energy (LEI).
According to scientists, the country is beginning to be dominated by uncontrolled outbreaks of infections, so the spread of the virus may exceed pessimistic forecasts.
After modeling possible cases, the researchers note that if the number of new infections increased by 5.8% every day, as in September, and 8% of all infected people were seriously hospitalized, quarantine measures should harden after late.
According to them, this is the only way to reduce the workload of medical institutions and ensure that COVID-19 patients do not occupy more than the thousand hospital beds currently planned across the country.
In the pessimistic scenario, this number of beds would be completely full already in the second half of November.
If 5% of all infected people were hospitalized, quarantine measures in the country should be introduced a little later, on November 12.
According to scientists, although more and more preventive measures are being introduced in Lithuania, there is a high probability that the spread of the infection will reach the level of the Czech Republic, where around 7% more new infections are detected every day.
In this case, the number of hospital beds for COVID-19 patients may be overcrowded earlier than planned.
The researchers note that today in hospitals in large cities, COVID-19 provides only 400 beds for patients, which can be filled earlier than in regions. Therefore, it is especially important to provide extra beds today, to reduce the social contacts of the population, to further establish contacts of the sick, if necessary, to self-isolate. It is also important to be responsible, use personal protective equipment and respect hygiene and distance.
If the prevailing trend of the epidemic prevailed in Lithuania in early October, if the number of new infections increased by 3% every day and hospitalized patients accounted for 8% of all infected people, stricter quarantine measures would be needed later, on December 15. If only 5% of all infected people were hospitalized, the quarantine would tighten just before the New Year, on December 31.
According to prediction scientists, it is not yet possible to accurately predict the future course of the pandemic in Lithuania; So far there are no models that can reliably predict the course of the pandemic in a week or later. In addition, much will depend on the decisions of the Government and the awareness and protection of the population.
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