Professor Mickienė – on the spread of the virus: the situation is not really good or very optimistic



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“It’s hard to say, looking back, it seems to me that a lot of timely, reasonable and sensible decisions have been made during the first and second waves. However, looking back, not as an epidemiologist or data analyst, there appear to be two weaknesses.

That is, the second quarantine could have had to be introduced before and at the end of October, before the long weekend, I think that those tougher measures were already necessary, perhaps this would have prevented the appearance of morbidity.

The other thing is that we hoped that the interpretation, the communication, a recommendation that the public listened to, it would be possible to avoid strict mandatory measures, but in fact he considered that the mobility of people did not decrease in the fall. Despite all the recommendations, people were very active in the second wave before that acceleration, ”says A. Mickienė.

Restrictive measures could be more specific

According to her, the extremely poor scenario that the number of diseases in Lithuania may increase cannot be ruled out.

“I don’t think we can reject the second option, that the number of cases can jump. We all hear about new strains of the virus, we know that the British strain is already in Lithuania. We know from the experience of other countries that its prevalence in the country can approximately double every week, and the virus with this mutation is more contagious. So these are unfavorable circumstances for us, we are all tired, it is understandable, we want that kind of release, but with these circumstances a timely response is necessary, vaccination, because we have already learned a lot, our containment measures may be more specific than at principle “, says A. Mickienė.

Auksė Mickienė

Auksė Mickienė

© DELFI / Domantas Pipas

“It just came to our knowledge then. To do this, epidemiological data are collected and the measures that give the best result should be as specific as possible,” says A. Mickienė.

“The situation is certainly neither good nor very optimistic,” added the interlocutor.

30.5% have received at least one COVID-19 vaccine in Lithuania. Population aged 80 and over, according to data from the Statistics Department on Friday.

This is the most abundant group in society. Among people aged 70 to 79, the number of people vaccinated is half: 15.3 percent.

Currently, the first dose of the vaccine has been vaccinated to more than 200 thousand. or 7.16 percent. population of the country, both doses of the vaccine were received by 80.5 thousand. or 2.88 percent.

A map published by the Department of Statistics shows that in many municipalities vaccination is more or less even: 6-9 percent of its population is vaccinated with at least one dose of the vaccine. There are significantly more people vaccinated in tourist municipalities: 15 percent in Birštonas, 13.7 percent in Curonian Spit, 11 percent in Druskininkai and 10 percent in Palanga.

Šalčininkai stands out among the municipalities that have vaccinated the least population, where only 3.4 percent have been vaccinated. population, and Visaginas, where 4% are vaccinated.

The vaccination process is similar between large cities: the majority of the population, almost 8%, was vaccinated in Alytus, the least – 6% – in Klaipėda.

Statistics show that this week between 7.4 and 9.4 thousand people were vaccinated with the first dose in Lithuania during the week. people every day. The second dose was given to the majority of people on Wednesday and Thursday: 2.2 and 4.3 thousand, respectively. Several hundred people get vaccinated over the weekend.

Among those who received the first dose this week, the majority were people aged 70 to 79: More than 17,7 thousand people were vaccinated over the weekend and four business days. More than 12.8 thousand people over 80 years of age were vaccinated during the same period.

Lithuania has currently received 328 thousand. 235 doses of vaccine, all this quantity is transported to the vaccination centers, 280 thousand were used. 565 doses.

According to the government plan, both people over the age of 80 and the majority of the population aged 75 to 80 should be vaccinated with both doses of the vaccine during the fight, and vaccination of people over 65 should be started. Mass vaccination of the population is expected to begin in May.

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