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S. Čaplinskas, Doctor of Medical Sciences, analyzing the conclusions of the scientific publication, identifies the essential non-medical measures that helped prevent the spread of Covid-19.
It is observed that the requirement that residents stay at home is not as effective as a general limitation of the number of people, avoiding contact in a public space or in different institutions.
“The scientific journal Science today published a scientific publication evaluating the effectiveness of the seven most common non-medical interventions (NMI) used during the first quarantine (from January to the end of May 2020). The interventions were evaluated in 34 European countries and 7 non-European.
The revision of the article states that the governments of all countries are working to overcome the COVID-19 pandemic through a variety of non-medical interventions. Recent cross-country analyzes show that the concomitant use of different IMNs at different scales has been effective in reducing the viral replication rate R (showing how many people are infected per patient). Until now, it was almost unknown how effective individual NMIs were, so the researchers evaluated their effectiveness, from limiting the number of people who meet, closing businesses, educational institutions, to the requirement to stay at home.
It was concluded that the closure of all educational institutions, the limitation of meetings to 10 or fewer people and the closure of face-to-face businesses significantly reduced the transmission of the virus. The impact of the additional “stay home” requirement was relatively small.
The researchers examined the effect of each non-medical intervention on the percentage reduction in the effective reproduction rate (R).
It turns out that:
· Limitation of meetings to 1000 people or less: R reduced by 23% (from 0 to 40%);
· Restriction of meetings to 100 people or less: R reduced by 34% (from 12 to 52%);
· Restriction of meetings to 10 people or less: R reduced by 42% (17-60%);
· Some high-risk face-to-face deals closed: R decreased by 18% (−8 to 40%);
· Closing of most high-risk face-to-face deals: R decreased by 27% (from −3 to 49%);
· School and university closures: R reduced by 38% (from 16 to 54%);
· Recommendation to “stay at home” (as an additional effect on all other NMIs): R decreased by 13% (from -5 to 31%).
Note. The researchers noted that they had not been able to make a clear distinction between the effects of school closings and university closures, as the latter interventions were implemented on the same day or in close succession in most countries (except Iceland and Sweden, where only universities were closed). “This article is considered a non-medical intervention tool,” wrote Professor S. Čaplinskas.
The scientific journal Science today published a scientific publication that evaluates the seven most common …
Posted by Saulius Čaplinskas in 2020 Tuesday December 15
The growth will be in a few weeks.
A. Dulkys pointed out that really big numbers will continue to be seen in the coming days.
“They come out by inertia. They can be great for another 2-3 weeks. However, if we all try to honestly follow from today, encourage others, infect all people with a positive example instead of a virus, I think the situation will change and we will start to see positive changes from the New Year. This may further motivate us that it made sense, ”said the Minister.
He stressed that the upcoming holidays have a very deep meaning.
“Let’s try not to give in to glitter, but to meaning,” urged the new operations manager.
The portal tv3.lt recalls that in the calculations for the last 7 days presented by the New York Times, Lithuania ranked first in the world in terms of the number of coronavirus cases diagnosed per 100,000 population.
The prestigious American publication provides constantly updated coronavirus calculations and, according to one of them, Lithuania has become the “leader” of the global pandemic. US estimates show that the average number of new cases in our country in the last 7 days is 2718. However, according to 100 thousand. the average per person (97.4), we are at the top of the table.
More than 2.3 thousand patients are treated in hospitals. COVID-19 patients, of which 184 were in resuscitation.
Hospitals are treating 2,307 COVID-19 patients, 184 of them in resuscitation, Statistics Lithuania said Wednesday.
1256 patients need oxygen, 124 people receive artificial lung ventilation. Currently, approximately half of the hospital beds are occupied: 8,439 of the 16,000. 668.
Of the 685 resuscitation beds, approximately two-thirds are occupied, 420. Of the 637 beds that can be operated with artificial pulmonary ventilation, 268 are occupied and of the 6,380 beds with oxygen, 2,194 are occupied.
Last day 3418 new cases of coronavirus were confirmed, 44 people died from COVID-19 and 1622 people recovered last day.
Since the start of the pandemic, COVID-19 has infected 99,000 people in the country. 869 people, 55 thousand. 143 – still sick, 43 thousand. 379 – recovered. A total of 907 people died from coronavirus in Lithuania and 440 people died from other causes.
On Sunday night, the government unanimously approved the new restrictions, which took effect at midnight on Wednesday. Among the new restrictions is a ban on leaving the house unless you have to work, bury something or buy food. The operation of non-food stores will also be prohibited, with the exception of online sales. The quarantine runs until January 31.
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