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The professor shared his ideas on Facebook on Saturday.
“The United States and the United Kingdom are already vaccinating their citizens with an effective and safe vaccine. Meanwhile, Lithuania, like other European countries, faces a very difficult dilemma of how to stop the spread of the pandemic less than a month before. for the first doses of the vaccine to arrive in the country The measures taken so far are inadequate and the strictest solutions that can handle the situation are linked to restrictions on the movement of people and economic activity.
Analysis of the first wave in Europe shows that the smallest outbreaks of COVID-19 have occurred in those European countries that have been infected at the latest and have introduced various restrictions, even with low incidence. Countries that introduced restrictions at an early stage applied less stringent measures, but these measures proved to be effective (eg in Lithuania). The “late” countries have been forced to apply a strict policy of closure or blockade throughout the country, “explains the professor.
“On the other hand, American researchers, analyzing data on the mobility of up to 98 million Americans, have identified the most likely sites of infection in society: religious institutions, churches, restaurants, bars and cafes, sports centers, hotels, grocery and non-grocery stores.
Finally, it became clear that the infection, which had moved from society to homes, was spreading intensely among family members, especially as several long-unseen families sat down to drink wine in the evening. and all masks were removed. This is what Professor Mindaugas Stankūnas tried to tell the outgoing government, ”wrote V. Kasiulevičius on Facebook.
According to the professor, there are six ways to achieve stabilization of the situation.
“A study published in one of the world’s most prestigious scientific journals, Nature, in which researchers examining government interventions during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, unanimously agreed that 6 pandemic management measures were the more effective: 1) restriction of small meetings, 2) closure of educational institutions, 3) border control, 4) restriction of the movement of people, 5) provision of security measures, 6) complete closure of the country (national closure). The Lancet analysis added restrictions on international travel and public transportation to the list of measures that more effectively stop the spread of COVID-19.
Another analysis, not yet published in the peer-reviewed medical press, shows that five of the pandemic management measures taken by governments have a relatively significant impact if fully implemented: 1) job closures, 2) restrictions on movement within the country, 3) the requirement to stay at home, 4) public information campaigns, and 5) the closure of schools at various levels. Four of the five measures are associated with lower rates of infection growth and even relatively low levels of infection after the end of these measures.
However, public information campaigns have the greatest impact only in the case of intensive spread of the infection (as is currently the case in Lithuania), but this requires effective coordination of traditional and social media ”, explained the professor .
V.Kasiulevičius presented Australia as a good example of COVID-19, where the situation stabilized even at a very difficult time.
“Although Australia is also an area of interest to Professor Mindaugas Stankūnas, he wants to set a good example once again. This year’s winter in the southern hemisphere has become conducive to the spread of COVID-19 in Australia. Melbourne became in an outbreak area, but Australians recovered when Level 4 restrictions were introduced. What steps did Australians take to stop the spread of infection?
2020 July 10 Level 3 restrictions introduced in the event of a pandemic:
1) It is recommended to stay at home, except to go to work, under the supervision of disabled, lonely people, they are allowed to go to buy basic goods, medical needs are insured.
2) Travel from the Victoria region to the Melbourne metropolis is prohibited.
3) Restaurants and cafes only offer take away food.
4) Libraries and community centers are closed, any gathering is prohibited except weddings and funerals. Only 5 people can attend the wedding, 10 people can attend the funeral.
5) Cinemas, zoos, natural parks, galleries, museums, concert halls, campsites, closed mobile homes for rent.
Photo from 123RF.com / Security
6) Optional retail closed. Major retail includes food / grocery, fuel, barber shops, and more.
The situation is still bad, so in 2020. 3 August Australia is introducing Level 4 restrictions in Melbourne, adding to the list of restrictions that already exist:
1) Schools are closed.
3) Mandatory face masks.
4) The curfew is entered from 20 to 5 in the morning (mandatory to stay at home, except for travel, medical care and nursing services).
5) Contact with other homes is prohibited.
6) Unnecessary travel from home up to 5 km is prohibited. distance.
7) It is allowed to exercise outdoors for one day until 1 pm
8) Only one person in the household can leave the house to buy the necessary goods and services.
The situation is stabilizing very quickly and is beginning to improve, ”said the professor.
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