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According to The Washington Post, getting back to our normal lives will take time, but it is still very difficult to say how long.
The answers lie in larger studies of the vaccine, how it will be distributed, and ultimately how many people are ready to get vaccinated.
“The vaccine will not be immediately available to everyone,” said Arthur Reingold, a professor of epidemiology at the University of California.
“Reuters” / “Scanpix” nuotr./Moderna “vakcina
According to him, it could take four to six months.
“People will have to keep wearing masks until at least spring. We will not miraculously find ourselves in another position in February or March. I don’t imagine that is possible, ”he emphasized.
Equally important is what we don’t yet know about vaccines themselves.
Researchers cannot yet say how long the vaccine will last.
It is still speculated whether the vaccines will only protect against infection, which would mean that a person would not get sick but could spread the virus.
„Reuters“ / „Scanpix“ nuotr./Dr. Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci, the nation’s leading infectious disease specialist, said that even knowing that vaccines would drastically reduce the spread of the disease would make them forget about wearing masks.
Robert T. Schooley, an infectious disease specialist at the University of California, is convinced that even with the advent of vaccines, the virus will not go away and will exist for many years.
What will be next summer?
Some experts hope that thanks to vaccines, the level of protection against the virus next summer will be such that it will be possible to resume some of the activities that had to be forgotten due to the pandemic.
I’m not sure about mass gatherings like baseball games, but it is likely.
“I’m not sure about mass gatherings like baseball games, but it’s likely. Time will tell,” said A. Reingold.
Andrew Badley, an immunovirologist at the Mayo Clinic, says that what we can afford in the summer will largely depend on how many people are vaccinated.
“The only way to come back to life in the summer is to vaccinate the majority of the population, and if further research confirms the current data on the effectiveness of the vaccine. I don’t think that by then we will be able to vaccinate the majority of society ”, he was not optimistic.
According to him, a substantial improvement is expected for the summer, but what was normal for us before the pandemic is likely to recover only in November next year.
A.Fauci emphasizes that prevention of symptomatic infection was the first priority in the development of the vaccine.
“The vaccine can protect against disease, but not necessarily against infection,” he said.
What to vaccinate first?
Vaccination is expected to be carried out in waves. It is expected to start at the end of the year.
The first in a long line are the employees of the health and rescue services. Then the most vulnerable: older people with chronic diseases, and then younger and healthier people.
People who participated in vaccine trials as volunteers and received doses of placebo may be among the first to get vaccinated.
By the way, vaccines will also be offered to those with a history of coronavirus and have antibodies. This is because it is still unknown for how long people can be protected by natural immunity. It is true that this group of people will be at the end of the queue, experts say.
Photo by 123RF.com / COVID-19 Vaccine
As previously announced, the coronavirus vaccine is given twice, a second time a month later.
Higher levels of antibodies after the vaccine.
Microbiologist Peter Palese told The Washington Post that he was optimistic that the vaccine would not only protect against coronavirus disease, but also prevent the spread of the infection.
He and his wife tested the Pfizer vaccine. The researcher received a dose of placebo and his wife received a real vaccine.
According to Palese, his wife had many times more antibodies than their two 48-year-old sons, who had coronavirus, and they recovered.
It is true that not all scientists are so optimistic.
RTSchooley assures that the biggest threat lies in the people’s belief that we have already defeated.
According to him, in early trials, many vaccines look better than they turn out later. The protection they provide may diminish over time.
However, the vaccine can have any efficacy; it won’t help if people refuse to get vaccinated.
Polls show that 40 percent or more of Americans do not promise vaccines. This is of great concern to scientists who emphasize the importance of so-called herd immunity.
Badley says that to achieve so-called herd immunity, you need to vaccinate 50-90 percent. populations.
People’s attitude against vaccines is worrying. According to Fauci, the sooner universal immunity is achieved, the sooner life can get back on track.
“Even with a highly effective vaccine, if only half of the people use it, protection at the community level will not be enough and by no means will it be optimal,” he said.
We have come an incredibly long road in a short time.
Badley believes that the more information there is about vaccine safety, the more people will agree to get vaccinated.
“Smallpox is the only infectious disease that has been eradicated with the vaccine and almost 200 years have passed since its diagnosis. “We have come an incredibly long road in a short time, and if we continue, we will be able to control the pandemic for months and years to come,” he said.
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