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“Without a basis for any cooperation, the world will sink into a catastrophe comparable to World War I,” Kissinger said at the opening ceremony of the Bloomberg New Economy Forum. According to him, the military technologies available today could lead to a crisis that “would be even more difficult to control than those that arose in earlier times.”
“The United States and China are now increasingly prone to confrontation, and they continue their diplomacy through confrontation,” Kissinger, 97, told John Micklethwait, editor-in-chief of Bloomberg News. “The danger is that there may be a crisis that will go from hostile rhetoric to a real military conflict.”
The diplomat, who paved the way for President Richard Nixon’s historic trip to China in 1972, said he would hope that when Joe Biden is sworn in as President of the United States on January 20, the common threat of the COVID-19 pandemic will allow both parties to initiate political discussions.
“If we look at the COVID pandemic as a warning, in the sense that practically all countries are addressing the problem for the most part on their own, but its long-term solution must be found at some global level,” Kissinger said. “
Relations between the United States and China have reached their lowest level in decades, although the two agreed to a “first phase” trade deal early in the first half of the year. Since then, the virus outbreak, which began in Wuhan, China, has spread around the world, costing more than 1.3 million people. human lives and world economies severely shaken.
Henry Kissingeris
US President Donald Trump has stepped up his criticism of China, accusing it of spreading the virus and dying of its numbers in the US; in addition, each side resorted to more active actions, which each of them considered hostile.
China’s crackdown on Hong Kong autonomy continued last week after local officials disqualified four lawmakers from the pro-democracy camp for alleged loyalty to Beijing. US officials have publicly condemned the collapse of the “one country, two systems” policy that has helped Beijing maneuver with the United States for decades.
The United States imposed new sanctions on Beijing, banning investment in 31 Chinese companies, said the United States, controlled by the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA).
“RE.” Short uses a more confrontational method of negotiation, which can be applied indefinitely, “Kissinger said. At the beginning of his short tenure,” it was important for him to emphasize the great concern of Americans about the unbalanced evolution of the world economy. I think it was very important to emphasize that. But since then, in my opinion, it would have been better to take a more differentiated approach. “
Fast collapse
The rapid collapse of relations between the United States and China this year shows that both sides are approaching a new Cold War, Kissinger said, adding that both China and the United States should “agree that any new conflict that arises between the two, not will start a military conflict. “
To that end, the United States and China should work together to create an “institutional framework under which any leader trusted by our President and a Chinese leader trusted by President Xi Jinping are appointed for mutual contact on behalf of their presidents, “he said.
Relations with China may dominate the foreign policy agenda of President Joe Biden’s administration. It is expected to seek ways to ease tensions in many areas, such as the future of 5G technology, China’s expansionism in the South China Sea, and Hong Kong’s diminishing autonomy.
Donald trump
Although Biden has many years of experience in developing relations with China, his tone has intensified during the electoral political debate, he has often criticized China’s categorical policies in the region, including on human rights issues, and called the president Xi Jinping of “bandit” during the February debate.
“There are, of course, disagreements on human rights,” Kissinger said, asking what else China could do to improve relations. “It is important that each party understands the other’s most sensitive areas, and not necessarily to solve the problem, but to mitigate it so that further progress is possible.”
In a speech last week, Xi Jinping called on the parties to intensify cooperation and avoid conflict, despite the fact that his policies have led China down the path of confrontation with the United States. In addition, last week China officially congratulated Joe Biden and elected US Vice President Kamal Harris on his electoral victory.
“The United States and China have never been in a hostile confrontation with another country of roughly the same size and influence,” Kissinger said. – This is the first experience of its kind. And we must make sure that the relationship does not turn into a conflict and, if successful, lead to some cooperation. “
After examining several of Joe Biden’s proposals on relations with China, Kissinger, when asked about the idea of forming a coalition of democracies to confront China, called for caution and not rushing.
Xi Jinpingas
© Zuma Press / Scanpix
History of the crisis
“I believe that democracies should cooperate as soon as their beliefs allow or require it,” he added. “I think it would be unwise to form a coalition against a particular country, but a coalition to prevent dangers is necessary when it is unavoidable.”
Finally, Kissinger said, the leaders of both countries must recognize that they view the same issues differently and that this affects their approach to the negotiations.
“Americans have a relatively unbroken success story,” he said. – The Chinese have a long history of recurring crises. The United States has been very lucky to avoid imminent danger, and China has long been surrounded by countries with plans for its integrity. “
Europe is increasingly involved in the tense struggle between the United States and Eurasia, Kissinger added.
“Europe has been a pillar of American foreign policy in the post-World War II period,” he said. “Now the question is: will they try to play a completely independent role, given the evolution of relations with the rest of the world?”
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