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According to data on Thursday morning in Lithuania, 1,385 people are infected with the new coronavirus, of which 589 have already recovered, 751 are still sick, and 45 have died from COVID-19.
Before the vaccine: 6-12 months.
The number of infections is declining, with only 10 new laboratory-confirmed cases on Wednesday. However, T. Beinort emphasizes: the small number of infected people shows that most Lithuanians are not yet infected with coronavirus infection.
“This virus that we are dealing with is really very insidious because it spreads between asymptomatic individuals and is easily transmitted. We do not have a vaccine against it; It will probably take at least 6 or 12 months before it appears, we do not have an effective treatment, and the only way to deal with this epidemic is not through pharmacological intervention, but rather preventing the spread of the virus by reducing transmission between people. A precautionary measure at a remote press conference, said a doctor at Cambridge University Hospital.
This virus we are dealing with is really very insidious because it spreads between asymptomatic individuals and is easily transmitted.
However, if the quarantine is relaxed to return to normal life as soon as possible, medical facilities are reopened to accommodate people with other health problems, and epidemiological control should be considered.
“It is an active test of the community and an active monitoring of the situation, what is the frequency of infections not only among symptomatic but also asymptomatic people.
Currently, enough asymptomatic public officials are being tested in Lithuania to prevent the spread of the virus among high-risk people, for example, in nursing homes, among health workers and police. However, by testing only certain groups, we will not know the whole situation in Lithuania, ”said T. Beinort.
Reuters / Scanpix Photo / Coronavirus
It is necessary to extract contacts
According to him, if the goal is to relax the quarantine requirements and return to normal life, one should think of creating a great infrastructure that allows testing a large part of Lithuanian society every day.
“Contact trapping must take place: would this be done in a classical epidemiological model, in which people would come into contact with the infected person and isolate themselves, or use a technological model, as in Australia, Germany or planned in the United Kingdom? determine if people have been in contact with each other. However, the technological model will not change classical epidemiology, we do not know if it works, nor should it violate human rights, “said T. Beinort on the need to establish contacts .
The first wave of the epidemic has ended. But it ended only because the quarantine in Lithuania started with only a few cases of infection and we didn’t see a true epidemic.
The doctor emphasized that if we want to return to a normal life, we must understand that we will live long with the virus.
“The first wave of the epidemic has ended. But it ended only because the quarantine in Lithuania started with only a few cases of infection and we did not see a true epidemic.” The risk of an epidemic, as everywhere, remains high, without intimidate nothing, but to return to normal life, we need to use strategically good solutions consisting of analysis, smart randomized testing and effective case capture, “said a doctor at Cambridge University Hospital.
According to him, the vaccine is expected to be available in 6-12 months, but if it occurs in such a short time, it will be a record in world history: the shortest time before the vaccine is developed is even five years, the vaccine against the Ebola virus.
Sigismund Gedvila / 15min photo / Hand disinfection
As long as there are no medications, it is important to be careful
“Quarantine and surveillance are part of those non-pharmacological preventive measures. To prevent people who do not have symptoms and do not know they are infected from infecting other people. All surveillance, in my opinion, is the use of a mask and the adherence to social distance, so that even with this virus it is not transmitted to others. But we cannot quarantine forever, we have to take some measures. My main argument is that we need to have a control system and know what is happening in the country before we see people who are already sick, ”said Beinort.
All surveillance, in my opinion, is the use of a mask and adherence to social distance, so that even with this virus it is not transmitted to others.
When asked about the importance of public immunity, although even the World Health Organization says it does not have precise data on the development of such immunity, Bainort agreed: “We have no evidence that a relapse means immunity. But we also have no evidence that relapse does not imply immunity.
The most likely cause of coronavirus transmission in some people is a part of immunity that at least partially protects society. However, to conclude that a disease protects a person from reinfection or that the possibility of transmitting the virus would be bold and even harmful, as it may be wrong. “
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