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On Friday, during the presidency, the president met with members of the Council of Health Experts, Health Minister Aurelijus Veryga and Ingrida Šimonyte, the candidate for the post of Prime Minister of the Lithuanian Christian National-Democratic Union (TS-LKD) . Members of the Council of Health Experts presented predictions of the possible spread of the coronavirus to the country’s chief.
One of the council members, Professor Mindaugas Stankūnas, said that the focus was on what experts consider the most important issue at the moment: whether the development of a pandemic scenario or whether it will be possible to guarantee hospital treatment of people with coronavirus.
PHOTO GALLERY. The Presidency presented the recommendations of the Council of Health Experts on COVID-19
“For some time now, we have seen that there is a well established percentage that of all active cases, almost 5 percent. hospital care is needed, ”said the professor.
According to him, about half of the patients treated in the hospital need oxygen masks, one-tenth of the patients treated in the hospital need help in resuscitation and intensive care units.
According to M. Stankūnas, several possible scenarios have been identified. According to him, if the quarantine measures were not introduced, “the Grinch would come and Christmas would be stolen.”
“According to our estimates, at that time, at the end of December, we should have about 95 thousand. people with struggle. If that ratio is applied, around 4.5 to 5 thousand patients would be treated in Lithuanian hospitals at that time. patients. Kaunas clinics have more than 2,000. beds “, – M. Stankūnas presented the worst case scenario.
Another model, according to M. Stankūnas, if people take their eyes seriously after the introduction of quarantine, then they relax and do not meet the requirements.
“We see that at the beginning of December we would have such a terrible option, but we would have about 50 thousand. sick people. We assume that people’s consciousness will be high and they will follow those recommendations, “said M. Stankūnas.
According to the professor, experts believe that the situation can be controlled and a decrease in the number of infections is possible by the end of November. According to M. Stankūnas, according to expert calculations, if the most probable scenarios come true, the health system must be prepared for around 1.1 thousand people. Beds.
“Such a number of cribs could reassure us and tell us that we can cope with the largest number of patients,” said M. Stankūnas.
According to the expert, the quarantine measures should work, and the council started by the president already on Friday began to consider possible ways to get out of the quarantine, whose restrictions should be lifted first.
Remigijus Mažeika, director of the Šiauliai Republican Hospital, stated that it is necessary to establish as many fever clinics as possible, which would take the burden off medical institutions. Other suggestions from the experts include opening the necessary wards at regional and district hospitals.
The duration of the quarantine regime in Lithuania is as of November 7. until November 29.
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