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“It just came to our attention then. The predictions are worrying, but not tragic. (…) Everything is in our hands ”, said G. Nausėda.
On Friday, he discussed the coronavirus situation with his group of experts, Health Minister Aurelius Veryga, and Prime Minister candidate Ingrida Šimonyte.
The president said the new government was preparing to take control of the coronavirus situation from the outgoing government.
“It just came to our knowledge then.” Both the government itself, the current and the future, deliver the work, implement what has to be implemented, while the other assumes and visualizes its action plan, the algorithm of action in the first days of his work ”, said the President.
He also thanked the doctors and specialists involved in the activities of the council.
“It remains for me to welcome the civic initiative shown by our best experts in this field, who did not waste time for the long weekend, had many discussions, they argued, but produced a really valuable document that will help our health legislators to prepare the best plan of action, “Nausėda said. .
Stankoon: If we lived a normal life, the Grinch would come and steal Christmas
Professor Mindaugas Stankūnas from the Lithuanian Health Sciences University (LSMU) stated that the Council of Physicians and Other Specialists, convened by G. Nausėda, has been working for a week.
“It was a very intense moment because, as you know, it was a long weekend and I had to mobilize with great force. As there was not much time at that time, we decided to focus on the most debated and most sensitive issue at the moment: whether we will be able to provide hospital treatment to people with Covid as this pandemic scenario unfolds, “said Stankūnas.
He presented the figures that were collected: “We see that for some time there has been a percentage so well established that in practically all active cases, around 5 percent. needs hospital care. (…) About half of those treated in the hospital need oxygen masks (…). About a tenth of hospitalized patients need help in resuscitation and intensive care units. “
According to the teacher, what would happen if nothing was done to change the situation was evaluated.
“Let’s say the epidemic continues to develop, we lead a normal life, Grin would actually come and steal Christmas, because according to our estimates, at that time, at the end of December, we would have almost 95,000. people with Covid-19 “, M. Stankūnas presented the forecast.
According to the scientist, in such a situation, around 4.5 – 5 thousand patients would be treated in Lithuanian hospitals. patients.
“You can imagine, I won’t say exactly now, but there are more than 2,000 people in the Kaunas clinics. Beds,” explained M. Stankūnas.
However, according to him, this path was not examined further, because the quarantine already introduced in Lithuania and the completely apocalyptic scenario should not be fulfilled.
Believe that the situation can be controlled
Like another model, a group of specialists studied the following scenario: after the introduction of quarantine, people take it responsibly and take it seriously, and then relax.
“So we see that at the beginning of December we would not have, of course, such a terrible option, but there would be about 50 thousand patients. people, ”said M. Stankūnas.
However, he said, scientists assume that people’s consciousness will be high and rules will be followed.
Despite more pessimistic scenarios, M. Stankūnas said that doctors and scientists believe that the situation can be controlled.
“According to some calculations, it should start on November 20, according to other calculations, on November 27. We should already see really positive developments and our cases should decrease, “said the professor.
As previously announced, as the COVID-19 situation deteriorates across the country, the quarantine will go into effect on Saturday.
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