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On Friday, during the presidency, the president met with members of the Council of Health Experts, Health Minister Aurelijus Veryga and Ingrida Šimonyte, the candidate for the post of Prime Minister of the Lithuanian Christian National-Democratic Union (TS-LKD) . Members of the Council of Health Experts presented predictions of the possible spread of the coronavirus to the country’s chief.
The President welcomed the first meeting of the Council of Health Experts, in which the results were discussed on the possible forecasts of growth in the number of infected in the coming weeks.
One of the council members, Professor Mindaugas Stankūnas, said that the focus was on what experts consider the most important issue at the moment: whether the development of a pandemic scenario or whether it will be possible to guarantee hospital treatment of people with coronavirus.
PHOTO GALLERY. The Presidency presented the recommendations of the Council of Health Experts on COVID-19
“For some time now, we have seen that there is a well established percentage that of all active cases, almost 5 percent. hospital care is needed, ”said the professor.
According to him, about half of the patients treated in the hospital need oxygen masks, one-tenth of the patients treated in the hospital need help in resuscitation and intensive care units.
According to M. Stankūnas, several possible scenarios have been identified. According to him, if the quarantine measures were not introduced, “the Grinch would come and Christmas would be stolen.”
“According to our estimates, at that time, at the end of December, we should have about 95 thousand. people with struggle. If that ratio is applied, around 4.5 to 5 thousand patients would be treated in Lithuanian hospitals at that time. patients. Kaunas clinics have more than 2,000. beds “, – M. Stankūnas presented the worst case scenario.
Another model, according to M. Stankūnas, if people take their eyes seriously after the introduction of quarantine, then they relax and do not meet the requirements.
“We see that at the beginning of December we would have such a terrible option, but we would have about 50 thousand. sick people. We assume that people’s consciousness will be high and they will follow those recommendations, “said M. Stankūnas.
According to the professor, experts believe that the situation can be controlled and a decrease in the number of infections is possible by the end of November. According to M. Stankūnas, according to expert calculations, if the most probable scenarios come true, the health system must be prepared for around 1.1 thousand people. Beds.
“Such a number of cribs could reassure us and tell us that we can cope with the largest number of patients,” said M. Stankūnas.
President: The forecasts are worrying, but not tragic
“I just want to tell you that you do not have to be intimidated. The prognoses are worrying, but not tragic and everything is in our hands,” G. Nausėda told reporters gathered in the courtyard of the presidency on Friday.
According to the president, the forecast document prepared by health experts will help politicians to prepare the best plan of measures. G. Nausėda pointed out that the work of the expert council will not end there, it will be transferred to other areas of activity.
“It’s not like someone is in charge, while others live quietly in repose. “The government, the presidency, the government, the ministry and the people themselves are responsible for how long it will take to fight the coronavirus and how successful it will be,” said the president.
The president trusts that the change of government will guarantee the continuity of the work and will implement measures based on the recommendations of the best experts.
Presidential adviser Simon Krėpšta assured that experts have presented possible scenarios for the spread of the coronavirus over the long weekend. According to S. Krėpšta, the council will continue its activities.
The president’s adviser said the first expert report outlined the most likely scenarios for the development of the coronavirus, combined with the need for beds for coronavirus patients and specific recommendations to adapt the health system so that all patients receive appropriate treatment. without limiting other essential treatments.
The news portal tv3.lt recalls that on Thursday A. Veryga assured that he does not see reasons to impose a state of emergency in the country.
“I certainly wouldn’t see any added value from the state of emergency today. There are still measures that could be implemented without an emergency, not all of them are in place, as you asked about stores, other places that could theoretically be limited without a state of emergency.
Because in that case, the situation should be special for us to introduce this type of measure. We are already talking that there are too many restrictions on the population. Then many things would go out and then we found ourselves in a very difficult situation in terms of management, “said the minister.
On Wednesday, during a meeting with the president, I. Šimonytė told reporters that the prime minister would be responsible for the management of Covid-19 in the new government.
“The goal is that when the new government takes office, the prime minister takes over the management of this situation. Because now one of the problems is that there are two centers of power: the Minister of Health and the Prime Minister.
Sometimes one of them is a good cop, the other a bad cop, sometimes the information comes from two different sources, ”said I. Šimonytė.
The duration of the quarantine regime in Lithuania is as of November 7. until November 29.
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