The intrigue of the US presidential election: Kojala listed the hottest spots of the duel

A political expert said turnout in these elections is likely to be higher than four years ago.

“There are various circumstances, there are many opportunities to vote early. (…) More than 90 million people voted in advance, both by mail and other means, and the total turnout could reach 160 million Americans who voted. That’s about 20 million more than in 2016, “he said on the show.

According to L. Kojala, due to the high turnout in the US presidential elections, Biden will not be sad either.

“The second factor, which is very important – the election itself is a fight in which the Americans themselves see a choice – the different trajectories offered by the candidates, and therefore treats each vote as very important.” It’s probably hard to say who he’s most useful to – Joe Biden certainly won’t be sad if the numbers are high. Because potentially, there are more supporters of the Democratic Party candidate across the country than Donald Trump.

And it has a very loyal, enthusiastic and very dedicated constituency of voters, but in terms of numbers it is a little smaller ”, said L. Kojala in the program“ Delfi Rytas ”.

He recalled that in the United States voters do not directly elect the president, they choose an intermediate link – the electoral college – 538 voters, and vote in December-January to decide who will be the future leader of the country.

“Voters are basically chosen by the parties. So when people vote in each of the states, they basically choose a list of people who will represent the state in the electoral college. (…) In theory, party appointees should be loyal, but in practice we have seen in history cases where individual voters don’t vote as their state voters said, and we had those cases in 2016 ”, said.

Tonight he called for a lot of attention from the state of Florida.

“Florida will be a good litmus test tonight. Of the last 14 elections, up to 13 in the state voted for the person who eventually became president. Obviously, it is always a good indicator. (…) If Donald Trump did not win in Florida, his path to the White House for a second term would become almost impossible. Because this is a very important state for him, “L. Kojala said Tuesday morning.

The expert hinted that another indicator whose results will have to wait – Pennsylvania.

“Now there are both campaigns, there they fight for every vote until the last moment. Because he understands that this state, where the polls are good enough for both candidates, wants that state, ”said another director of the Center for Eastern European Studies.

According to the interlocutor of the program, these elections also slightly change the states that usually speak towards a party.

“Texas is a very red state, it tends to be a Republican party, it is the second largest state, it is definitely very important. Polls in recent months probably show this state is changing and is no longer a Republican stronghold as it used to be. Many will probably still think that D. Trump is going to win there in the end, long-term work should not mean that everything is changing and turning blue, a state of Democrats, “said the expert.

Although we will not receive the final results of the presidential elections on Election Day, there will be clear trends that will point the way.

“The states have until December, it may take a little longer. Of course, it all depends on the results: if several states vote for Biden, it will show a trend that will be very favorable for him and it will be difficult to imagine a scenario of how other states They should vote for Trump to win. The results for almost 40 states are pretty clear today. Plus, those dozens of states are the gist of it all, because the outcome is fragile there, we focus there. When we get the first results from those 10 states, we will probably be able to say if the struggle continues or comes to an end ”, assured L. Kojala.

When asked to evaluate the campaign for this presidential election, Kojala noted that the coronavirus pandemic had changed a lot.

“The elections in the United States are brutal enough, they do not forgive each other. This campaign was specific because the candidates did not have many opportunities to meet with the voters due to the pandemic situation. As a result, much of the campaign was televised, spending almost $ 2 billion on advertising, according to independent analysts. (…) D. Trump has tried to present his opponent as someone who is unprepared because of his age, perhaps even his ability to make decisions has fluctuated, “he said. .

And Biden’s accents were simple enough for Trump: the politician put his finger on the situation in the country after 4 years of Trump’s rule.

L. Kojala named the following as the most important works of the term of the President of the United States D. Trumpas.

“First of all, appointments to the Supreme Court and other courts. For conservatives, this is extremely important because the courts of the United States often have an ideological distribution. (…) Another thing is tax reform, D. Trump has cut taxes on particularly large companies, saying that it is a way to start the engine of the economy. Although it must be admitted that the borders were not built by D. Trump, only a few new kilometers, but the immigration policy was tightened, it was made more difficult to get to the United States, “he said.

According to RESC director L. Kojala, D. Trump would be a less predictable president. However, this does not mean that J. Biden, more predictable, would be more favorable to Lithuania.

“I think we understand that this is the leader of the free world. Every word, speech, or decision you make will have a huge impact on everyone, including us. The expectation is that we see the United States as an ally that is not thwarted by unique electoral winds. Whether there is Mr. Biden or Mr. Trump, we want to believe that those long-term commitments are a NATO alliance, support for our democracy will remain.

It is clear that the stylistics would be different, D. Trump would be much less predictable, J. Biden himself was in Lithuania, we know him well. But this in itself does not mean that their decisions would be more favorable to Lithuania, “L. Kojala said on Tuesday morning on the” Delfi rytas “program.

The United States presidential elections will be held on Tuesday, November 3.