[ad_1]
Vytautas Kasiulevičius, a professor at the Vilnius University Faculty of Medicine, wrote on Facebook on Saturday night that 205 cases a day in Lithuania have no limit.
“There are many disputes as to whether those 205 cases per day in Lithuania are the limit. Clearly, this has no limits. Actually, those figures are still very small compared to Israel, Argentina, the Czech Republic and Spain. But as Winter is approaching, the spread of the infection is intensifying. The biggest jump in new cases of Covid-19 in the EU occurs in the Czech Republic. More than 10 million population and 111,000 cases of Covid-19 have already been reported. In the Czech Republic, the number of patients hospitalized for Covid-19 has increased from 200 to 1,300 in the last month, and 412 patients with Covid-19 are currently being treated in intensive care units.
For three and a half times smaller than the Czech Republic, an additional 100 Covid-19 patients in intensive care units would be a real challenge. Therefore, despite the belief of many Lithuanians that Covid-19 is not dangerous than influenza (actually, Covid-19 infection is several times more dangerous than influenza), it all depends on the number of cases . When you handle a situation, you can ignore those languages, in a few patients in intensive care or so, but when control gets out of hand and a few hundred new diseases a day, things fundamentally change.
Tests. Lithuania tests a lot, Spain tests more and Israel tests even more than everyone else, but the most important indicator for us is the proportion of positive PCR tests among all those analyzed (13% in Israel, 9% in Spain, 2% in Lithuania, In Germany – 1.3%).
In May, the WHO recommended that countries end the quarantine only when positive PCR tests within 14 days accounted for no more than 5 percent of all tests. It should be remembered that the test volumes in the world were significantly lower at that time. Later, already in the summer, many countries adhered to the principle that, ideally, positive PCR tests do not exceed 1 percent of all studies conducted.
Although it is a matter of agreement, it is bad when the proportion of positive PCR tests is as high as in Argentina (even 60 percent!) And worse when that proportion is growing rapidly, as it shows the intensive spread of the infection. and the need for increased testing.
At first glance, the proportion of positive PCR tests in Lithuania out of all those performed was only 2 percent. But we must bear in mind that a good month ago the proportion of positive tests in our country was only 0.8 percent. Meanwhile, in Germany, which better manages Covid-19, the proportion of positive PCR tests per month ranges from 0.8%. increased to 1.3 percent. In Germany, the proportion of positive tests increased 1.6 times a month, in Lithuania – 2.8 times. This is logical, because the infection has spread faster in Lithuania than in Germany in the last month. It is important to aim for a slower increase in the proportion of positive PCR tests than the growth rate of new Covid-19 cases in the country. The government must not forget that increasing the scope of testing in response to the increasing number of infections allows better control of the spread of the disease, ”wrote V. Kasiulevičius on the social network.
Delfi recalls that 205 new cases of COVID-19 infection were detected in Lithuania on October 9. This is a record number since the beginning of the pandemic.
Fewer (160) new cases of COVID-19 were reported on Sunday.
The total number of infected people is 6,122, the National Public Health Center (NVSC) said on Sunday.
COVID-19 still affects 3,220 people, killed 103 people and led to another 22 deaths. 2777 patients are considered to have recovered.
The isolation currently contains 32 thousand. 607 people.
As of June 1, 314 imported coronavirus cases were recorded in Lithuania.
During the previous day, 3922 samples were analyzed, so far a total of 842 thousand samples have been analyzed. 423 samples.
It is strictly forbidden to use the information published by DELFI on other websites, in the media or elsewhere, or to distribute our material in any way without consent, and if consent has been obtained, it is necessary to cite DELFI as the source.
[ad_2]
