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According to A. Feduta, in the next few days it will be clear if the protests are going to last long, because there are several reports, and the strikes seem to gather momentum.
“If Lukashenko declares a state of emergency, it will mean that he will be a dictator not only in the eyes of the people of the country, but also in the eyes of the whole world. I think this is the beginning of the end, we will only count the days before go away, “said the journalist.
He emphasizes that the people who take to the streets must be respected, as the regime already seems illegal to Belarusians: everyone understands that the Central Election Commission lied when announcing the results.
“In those 86 electoral districts where the chairmen and commissioners refused to obey instructions and counted the votes in good faith, Lukashenko lost to Cichanouskaya, in all 86 electoral districts. This is a very serious symptom. Consequently, in in the event of new elections, he would also lose, “said AA Eduta.
He knows Lukashenko well and believes that the Belarusian leader is calm in “so much stress”. He knows how to wait.
“But he’s waiting for a miracle to happen and people just split up on their own. But miracles, that I know of, are not. In the so-called second-line cities, OMON refused to hit people. So you have to transport the riot militia from one city to another. This is also a serious symptom, ”says A. Feduta.
AFP / Scanpix photo / Militia in Minsk
How to continue the protests without at least the leader of the theoretical opposition, Lukashenko, who challenged Sviatlan Cichanouskaya during the elections and left or was taken to Vilnius? Do you need a leader?
“You know, there was no leader in the early days. Cichanouskaya was a symbol, a motto, but she didn’t organize protests.
I think people are organizing now. In addition, cities like Soligorsk and Svetlogorsk will have a voice, it is no coincidence that there is talk of strikes there, ”explained A.Feduta.
By the way, no one has realized that in Russia Belarusians can picket the embassy, despite the fact that there are even individual protesters. Why is the Kremlin bothering Lukashenko?
“The Kremlin is trying to shed the political responsibility of supporting a regime that is losing popularity.
There are those who say that Russia can take advantage of the unrest and send its forces here, but I don’t think so. It is true that Moscow wants a kind of alibi in the eyes of a democratic society, ”says A. Feduta.
Reuters / Photo by Scanpix / Vladimir Putin and Alexander Lukashenko
He is not yet inclined to talk about the disintegration of the elite; after all, all the most powerful officials have become like this thanks to A. Lukashenko and are completely dependent on the president.
“When he spoke in parliament, his main message was that if I left, you would leave,” Feduta said.
If his victory is not recognized, his powers will cease to exist, the carriage will turn into a pumpkin, and Alexander Grigoryevich will no longer be the president of Belarus.
According to the expert, the protests are now personal: many Belarusians are not thinking about the name of the future president, but about fair and transparent elections:
Reuters / Photo by Scanpix / Protests in Belarus
Feduta says he is aware that militia leaders and generals are finding it increasingly difficult to single out subordinates, and he suspects that key ministries are already in conflict.
“It is better to wait for Lukashenko to allow fair elections in accordance with the law. But there is another option: to wait for the moment when he ceases to be a legitimate president. It will be soon, at the beginning of September,” said A.Feduta.
This is because Lukashenko has always postponed the date of the presidential elections until it was finally announced on August 9.
“And exactly one month later, on September 9, if his victory is not recognized, his powers will cease to function, the carriage will turn into a pumpkin and Aliaksandr Grigorievev will no longer be the president of Belarus,” Feduta said.
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