John Kasich’s DNC speech will not change anyone’s thoughts about 2020


Except, well, in terms of in fact voters who may be convinced by Kasich’s speech probably did not have much influence at all.

This whole Republican-speaking-at-a-Democratic convention (and vice versa) is not a new thing.

In 2008, Joe Lieberman, who was the Democratic vice presidential candidate eight years earlier, gave a speech at the RNC for his friend John McCain.
In 2016, Michael Bloomberg, elected mayor of New York City as a Republican, spoke at the Democratic National Convention.

Do you remember what was said in one of those speeches? Probably not – because none of them were terribly memorable.

See, the idea of someone crossing the aisle across the party to deliver a speech is way more interesting than the actual address itself. It sounds great for Kasich, a man who ran against Donald Trump during the 2016 presidency, to come out publicly for Biden. But the actual speech is very, very likely forgotten soon after it is given.

(Side note: Kasich is a CNN participant).

Here’s why.

Democrats do not need a conviction to vote for Biden. And they are unlikely to take their ways from a Republican governor and presidential candidate.

Many Republicans do not trust Kasich. He has made his opposition to Trump very clear over the years. It’s almost impossible not to know today that Kasich is not a fan of Trump. That he is willing to go to the Democratic convention and explain those views will not be seen as a conscience of action, but as a cowardly act by those Republicans. They – and potentially Trump himself – will cast Kasich (as well as other Republican speakers at the DNC like Meg Whitman and Susan Molinari) cast as non-real Republicans, only Republicans in name only (RINOs). for her friends in the media.

Of course, the Kasich speech is not aimed at Democratic or Republican partisans. It is theoretically aimed at convincing voters who have not decided who to vote for in November. And who, theoretically again, will be chased by someone like Kasich who has spent his entire life in the Republican Party but sees Trump’s support as a bridge too far.

Honestly, I’m skeptical that there are enough gatekeepers to make such an attack really worthwhile. (Trump is the most polarizing president in history.) I’m also less than convinced that Kasich (like any former Republican elected official) would be the voice that tilts these decisions toward Biden. Inside Editions editor Nathan Gonzales said it well here:

“I think Democrat convention planners are overthinking this. Democrats have so many younger and more diverse votes in the party. Each of them would have just as much chance of convincing GOP voters as this lineup.”

Agreed. If past prologue is, Kasich’s speech will be a ripple, not an outburst. And wrinkles have many thoughts not to change.

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