Three more deaths and 1,205 new cases

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There have been three coronavirus-related deaths and 1,205 new cases of the disease reported to the Health Department in the last 24 hours.

This is the highest number of cases recorded in a single day since the start of the pandemic.

It brings the total number of Covid-19 cases here to 46,429. This includes the denotation of 19 previously confirmed cases. The death toll is 1,838.

The number of people in the ICU at 2:00 p.m. today was 29, one less than yesterday. There have been 24 additional hospitalizations in the last 24 hours.

The 14-day incidence rate of coronavirus per 100,000 is highest in Cavan (693.3), Donegal (367.5), Meath (355.8), Monaghan (350.2) and Clare (306.4) .

It is lowest in Wicklow (77.9), Tipperary (79), Waterford (82.6), Carlow (84.3) and Mayo (106.5).

Dublin has a rate of 194.1, Cork is 232.3 with Limerick at 207.3 and a rate of 203.4 in Galway.

Of the new cases reported today, 288 were in Dublin, 173 in Cork, 123 in Meath, 97 in Galway 63 in Cavan and the remaining 461 cases are spread across all remaining counties.

The five-day average of new cases nationwide per day is 947.

Medical Director Dr. Tony Holohan said: “There have been further increases in all key Covid-19 indicators and the growth rate of the epidemic has accelerated since the last meeting of the National Public Health Emergencies Team ( NPHET).

“Cases reported in the last week have increased by 82% compared to the previous 7 days, from 3,514 to 6,382 cases.

“The positivity rate in the last seven days is now 6.2% and it continues to increase.

“The incidence of 14 days in people 65 years of age and older has increased from 92.9 per 100,000 inhabitants on October 7 to 125 per 100,000 inhabitants on October 14.

“The number of hospitalizations is increasing faster than the exponential growth model predicted. This indicates a rapidly deteriorating disease trajectory nationwide.”

Dr. Holohan, who was asked about people living alone, said that NPHET had considered this situation today. “We recognize the challenge this represents. We need to look at this and provide further guidance to address your concerns.”

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Dr. Holohan said that with the levels of transmission we are at now, it is not possible to find the source of the virus in a large portion of the identified cases.

“Mapping those things reliably can no longer be seen as a goal.”

Professor Philip Nolan, chair of NPHET’s Irish Epidemiological Modeling Advisory Group, said that if you “look back at two to four weeks, there has been about a four-fold increase over that time period.”

He said there are concerns that the spread of the virus has accelerated further this week. There has been an average of three deaths per day in the last week.

He said stabilization in Dublin has stopped: cases are increasing again, but not as fast as in the rest of the country.

The incidence in older people, over 65, has doubled and tripled in just one week.

Professor Nolan said the R (reproductive number) is now around 1.4 nationally, up from 1.2 last week. “It could be around 1 in Dublin, but elsewhere it could be 1.8.”

He said NPHET was forecasting between 1,800 and 2,500 cases per day by October 31. [at current growth rates] and more than 400 people in the hospital by that date.

“But we can get over this faster than we think,” he told a news conference, if people follow public health guidelines and “the number of infected people starts to drop.”

It’s about being persistent for several weeks, he added. “Without constant reminders and support, it is difficult to remember all the rules.”

Dr. Colm Henry, HSE’s clinical director, said the data shows that about 384 schools have had cases of the disease with 9,000 youth screened.

There was a positivity rate for those tests of only 1.9% with “very little evidence of progressive transmission” of cases between children.

Deputy Chief Medical Officer, Dr. Ronan Glynn, said NPHET was “clearly very concerned” by all indications, from the increase in deaths and hospitalizations to the exponential growth in the number of cases.

“Think of the thousands of vulnerable people who depend on you to do a little more.”

For example, meeting three different people for three different coffees gives the virus three chances to spread. Dr. Glynn urged people to reduce their social contacts.

Earlier today, HSE CEO Paul Reid said there was a “worrying growth” in the number of people admitted to the hospital for treatment for Covid-19.

He also said that the number of people in the hospital requiring ventilation as a result of Covid-19 has increased in recent days.

There have been 763 new Covid-19 cases in Northern Ireland in the latest 24-hour reporting period, bringing the total to 23,878. Four deaths were reported, bringing the official figure to 606.

Meanwhile, Higher Education Minister Simon Harris said the country is at a watershed moment, warning that there is a “very, very small window where we can avoid having to go back to severe restrictions.”

However, he said, “it is not inevitable” that more severe restrictions could be imposed on Covid-19.

Speaking on RTÉ’s Today with Claire Byrne, Harris said she believes the home visiting ban will be “a game changer” in curbing the spread of Covid-19.

He also said that traders can continue to work in people’s homes under the new restrictions announced by the government last night.



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