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At tonight’s Covid-19 briefing by the National Public Health Emergency Team, several speakers outlined why they believe schools are relatively safe environments, while concern was raised about general trends in the virus.
These are some of the key takeaways from tonight’s briefing.
‘Little evidence of any improvement’
“Over the last week to ten days we have seen little evidence of any improvement in the disease trajectory,” says Professor Philip Nolan, adding that “the epidemic has accelerated even more in the last week” | # COVID-19 | https://t.co/bXHSGf30fT pic.twitter.com/1TuKYyMlZm
– RTÉ News (@rtenews) October 15, 2020
At the beginning of the briefing, Professor Philip Nolan, chair of NPHET’s Irish Epidemiological Modeling Advisory Group, gave a grim warning that trends have not been positive.
After his initial summary that the epidemic is getting worse rather than better in Ireland, Professor Nolan provided a detailed breakdown of trends, warning that we could see 2,500 cases a day by the end of the month if current infection rates continue.
“If we fail to reduce transmission now, we are on track to see 1,800 to 2,500 cases per day and more than 400 people in hospital by the end of this month,” Professor Philip Nolan lays out some data on # COVID-19 trends | https://t.co/bXHSGf30fT pic.twitter.com/GNkw8GvkxF
– RTÉ News (@rtenews) October 15, 2020
Medical Director Dr. Tony Holohan said that transmission in the community is widespread and that all infections and contacts can no longer be traced.
“The reality is that we just no longer know who all the cases and contacts are,” @CMOIreland Dr. Tony Holohan says, adding that “reliably mapping those things to the point of infection that we have right now can no longer be considered a goal.” # COVID-19 pic.twitter.com/LV997wrBJc
– RTÉ News (@rtenews) October 15, 2020
Reduce discretionary contacts
The Medical Director reiterated the advice that people should reduce their socialization as much as possible.
“Now is the time for people to act, take that individual responsibility and reduce as much as possible non-essential social contact with other people.” @CMOIreland says | https://t.co/bXHSGf30fT pic.twitter.com/kFF5h6npdR
– RTÉ News (@rtenews) October 15, 2020
Work from home
Dr. Tony Holohan, @CMOIreland, said that people should work from home as much as possible and that employers should make it easy for their employees to do so whenever possible | https://t.co/yro2bXPnFk # COVID-19 pic.twitter.com/4KRhJgKUsV
– RTÉ News (@rtenews) October 15, 2020
When asked about reports of employers trying to get more people to return to their workplaces, Dr. Holohan said that just as people must take responsibility for reducing their social interactions as much as possible, employers must take responsibility responsibility to facilitate their workers to do so.
Deputy Chief Medical Officer Dr. Ronan Glynn said they were hearing reports that many employees were still going to work despite experiencing Covid-19 symptoms.
He said that now more than ever it is unacceptable to go to work when you are sick.
“It’s just not acceptable this winter to come to work with cold and flu symptoms,” said Deputy Marketing Director Dr. @ronan_glynn he says, adding “Don’t take the risk, isolate yourself and call your GP.” | https://t.co/bXHSGf30fT pic.twitter.com/j1oRzP0flV
– RTÉ News (@rtenews) October 15, 2020
Schools
HSE Clinical Director, Dr. Colm Henry (@CcoHse) says there is very little evidence of later transmission of # COVID-19 In schools. He says that community transmission is a threat to schools, but schools do not appear to be a threat to the community. | https://t.co/bXHSGf30fT pic.twitter.com/6ihU19vpac
– RTÉ News (@rtenews) October 15, 2020
HSE’s clinical director Dr. Colm Henry said there was a lot of anxiety when schools were reopening, but international evidence at the time suggested that communities were more likely to pose a risk to schools rather than the other way around.
This appears to have been confirmed here as well, with little evidence of progressive transmission of Covid-19 in schools and lower positivity rates in school communities than the general population.
Dr. Heny said that widespread community transmission appears to be a threat to schools, but schools are not a threat to communities.
Responding to a suggestion that schools could be a source of unexplained domestic outbreaks, Professor Nolan said it was highly unlikely.
“There really is no meaningful possibility, both from statistics and from public health research, that there is a link between schools and that number of [unexplained] domestic sprouts, “says Professor Philip Nolan | https://t.co/bXHSGf30fT pic.twitter.com/C74Ydbhyd4
– RTÉ News (@rtenews) October 15, 2020
Dr. Glynn noted that while there has been an increase in the number of cases in school-age children, the rate of increase in this group is less than in the general community.
In schools, Deputy CMO Dr. @ronan_glynn says “As we have seen an increase in cases in all age groups, we have also seen an increase in younger children … but the increase is less overall than for the general population | # COVID-19 | https://t.co/bXHSGf30fT pic.twitter.com/DjPW1zP7ga
– RTÉ News (@rtenews) October 15, 2020
‘Let them destroy the merchants’ criticized
Criticizing the “pseudoscience” of “letting them destroy the merchants” demanding herd immunity, @CMOIreland said many of the young people who were going to pick up # COVID-19 in such a plan are essential health workers | https://t.co/a2PV4SZqL2 pic.twitter.com/v3whYqSgGb
– RTÉ News (@rtenews) October 15, 2020
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