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The increase in cases in Dublin is due to home transmission, said Acting Medical Director Dr. Ronan Glynn.
Dr Glynn said there were “many cases” concentrated in clusters of households, and they are all over the city and county of Dublin.
In a personal message to people who live and work in Dublin, Dr. Glynn asked people to limit their social contacts “as much as possible”.
In a video message posted on the Department of Health website and on social media, he said: “Avoid crowds. Prioritize the people you need to see, but keep groups small and see them regularly rather than meeting many people from many different households.
We are seeing a lot of cases clustered in households and these clusters are spread all over Dublin City and County: Dr. Ronan Glynn.
“Focus on your center circle for the next several weeks. I know you know the core messages, but it’s time we redouble our effort to say sure.
“You have to act like you have the virus to protect your friends, family and colleagues during your day.
“I know it is a big challenge, but keeping a little distance from others is really important as we live with the threat of this virus. Your individual actions work. “
He warned that cases will double in Dublin in the next fortnight if trends continue as they are.
“We are seeing a lot of cases clustered into households and these clusters are spread throughout the city and county of Dublin,” added Dr Glynn.
Fortunately, the “vast majority” of cases in Dublin are young and hospitalization rates are low, he added. He also said that community transmission rates, where cases cannot be linked to other cases, are basically the same in Dublin as in other parts of the country. “This provides a window of opportunity to control the disease. We all need to act now to break the transmission trains, ”he said.
Dr Glynn said cases are currently growing at 4 percent per day in the capital and the R0, the reproduction rate, is 1.4.
A direct message to people who live or work in Dublin to explain where we are today and what we can all do to get where we need to be. # COVID-19-19. Your individual actions really matter. They all count. Do they work. #Firm hold [For Closed Captions, select “cc”.] pic.twitter.com/fbZlexdOVl
– Department of Health (@roinnslainte) September 11, 2020
Dr Glynn said there have been 1,055 cases in Dublin in the last 14 days and the cases are increasing to an average of 104 per day.
Strangers
Trinity College Dublin professor of experimental immunology Kingston Mills said that about half of all people who test positive for Covid-19 today have no symptoms.
Most cases of the disease are now occurring in young people who are often unaffected by it but can spread to more vulnerable people, he warned.
He suggested that we should not let strangers into our homes and hold outdoor gatherings when possible when we meet people.
Speaking to RTÉ Radio One with Brendan O’Connor, Professor Mills said that we must assume that people are infected with the disease and act accordingly.
He suggested that people should wear masks when talking to each other indoors.
Parts of Dublin have Covid-19 infection rates two and a half times higher than neighboring areas of the capital, according to the latest figures from the Health Protection Surveillance Center (HPSC).
Dublin North Central area as shown on the map refers to Dublin North City
For example, the number of cases appearing in south-east Dublin, including parts of the south-central city and Dundrum and Ballinteer, is 155 percent higher than those found in south Dublin.
The figures cover the cases reported by the HSE local health office (LHO) areas, which have been compiled by David Higgins, an economist with Carraighill data analysts.
Dublin South East, which runs from Baggot Street through Rathmines and Ranelagh to Leopardstown and Sandyford, recorded 93.8 Covid-19 cases per 100,000 people in the 14 days between Aug. 27 and Sept. 9.
Meanwhile, Dublin South, which comprises Dún Laoghaire, Stillorgan, Foxrock and even Loughlinstown, recorded just 36.7 Covid-19 cases per 100,000 in the same period.
Northwest Dublin, which stretches from Cabra to Mulhuddart and includes many newly built areas in West Dublin, is another hot spot for the disease, with an instance of 83.8 Covid-19 cases per 100,000.
An average of 73.2 cases of Covid-19 per 100,000 inhabitants is being registered throughout the capital, which represents a significant increase in the cases collected between August 20 and September 2, and August 27 and September 9.
The worst affected area, southeast Dublin, had 44.5 more weekly cases in the week between September 2 and 9, as well as between August 20 and 27. Dublin North, by contrast, had an additional 35.8 cases between then.
Ranelagh’s GP, Dr. Maitiu Ó Tuathail, said the differences between Dublin South and Dublin South East are explained by demographics. Those living in South Dublin are older and more settled, he suggests.
“We have a large population of young people who work in technology and go to college. We have seen increases in the demand for tests for weeks now, and it has been increasing steadily since the blocking measures were lifted, “he said.
“The Ranelagh, Rathmines, Grand Canal area has a very social demographic. It fits the current trend in the statistics that we are seeing, most are under 45 years old.
Dr Ray Walley, a GP based in Glasnevin, which is part of the Dublin West area, said that the high numbers currently in his area can be explained by increased poverty and more people living together.
Black, Asian and Middle Eastern communities in the UK have already been shown to be more vulnerable to Covid-19, and the same may be happening in North and West Dublin, which have higher numbers of immigrants.
“They are a more vulnerable group and they are investigating why this is so: it could be a vitamin D deficiency,” he said.
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