Coronavirus Ireland: according to predictions, deaths on the exact date will drop to 0

An American university has predicted that Ireland could expect to see approximately zero new coronavirus deaths starting June 24.

The first day that the Institute for Health Assessment and Measurement (IHME), an independent part of the University of Washington, projected zero deaths from Covid-19.

While the institute has been tracking the number of coronavirus cases, hospital admissions, and deaths in the United States, it has recently released projections on how the disease will affect the world population in the coming weeks and months.

MyLondon reports that by building statistical models of how the disease spreads, and taking into account the current rate of decline in cases due to social distancing and other measures, the institute estimates that the first day that we could expect zero deaths in Ireland will be from the end of June onwards.

The group’s analysis of their latest launch says: “At national level, most EEA countries appeared to have rapidly increased testing during or before the increase in estimated infections.

“However, some countries have recently closed the gaps between estimated infections and testing, including the Netherlands, Sweden and the United Kingdom, indicating the potential need to accelerate testing progress, especially as more countries they move to facilitate the social distancing policies previously implemented. “

Find IHME projections, data, methodology and notes for Ireland here.