[ad_1]
Updated 1 hour ago
It’s Trump or Biden for the White House.
Source: PA Images
THERE IS NOTHING LIKE Election Night in America.
Whether it’s the stakes or the reach of the world’s most powerful media outlets, it’s something we must stick with for the next… say 12 hours.
So whether you’re a seasoned observer of the US elections or someone who’s tuning in for the first time, we’ve put together a guide to help you stay awake and know the times that can be crucial.
Isn’t it a bit more complicated this year?
Possibly, but we’ll have to see how close it is.
The reason the results may be a bit more complicated this year is due to the large number of votes that have been cast either by mail or by early voting before today.
As former Clinton staff member Noel Rock noted in a very informative article on TheJournal.ie Last week, there are several states where more early votes have been cast this year than were cast in total in 2016.
Impressive: We are probably on track to get more than 100 million votes cast * before * Election Day, almost twice as many @EACgov estimate of 57.2 million early votes cast in 2016.
– Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 30, 2020
One thing to know in this regard is that Election Day ballots are more likely to favor Donald Trump, while early and postal votes ballots are more likely to favor Joe Biden.
This becomes difficult on Election Night because in some states early and mail-in votes will be counted first, while in other states they will be counted second.
Some states will have mandated early voting before Election Day, while in some states it would be illegal to do so.
An early voter in New York.
Source: PA Images
FloridaFor example, it is a state where early and postal ballots will be counted first. In fact, these ballots have already been classified and tabulated before election day.
This potentially means Florida is one of the changing states that could come out first with some results. However, it’s worth noting that because the postal ballots are counted first, the first counts in Florida could seem artificially high for Biden with more Trump votes afterward.
All of that puts an extra layer of uncertainty on things and a good rule of thumb is to be a little more cautious when it comes to reporting early counts.
CNN Washington bureau chief Sam Feist spoke about this recently, explaining that postal ballots and early voting could mean that networks may take longer than usual to screen.
“This year, of course, we will add absentee votes overnight into our conversation,” he said.
And if we are not ready to project the state, we are not ready to project the state, that does not mean that something is wrong. And we will make it clear to our viewers and readers that there is simply not enough information to do a screening. “
Early voting lines in Indianapolis.
Source: Michael Conroy / PA Images
However, in saying all this, this cautious approach is likely to be a more important factor if the results seem close; they will be less of a concern if either party is a clear winner.
Furthermore, it is completely normal that not all votes are counted on election night anyway, so that fact is taken into account when the networks are delivering their most important screenings.
Feist himself even acknowledges this, saying CNN won’t be long in projecting an overall winner if the gap is wide enough.
Rock all day
We didn’t know for sure the presidential winner before midnight on election nights in 1960, 1968, 1976, 2000, 2004, 2016. No one should pretend that there would be something historically unusual if that happened again in 2020.
– Michael Beschloss (@BeschlossDC) November 1, 2020
So with that in mind some of the key moments (all time in Ireland) to watch out for are as follows:
Surveys in most Florida (state has two time zones) close at midnight our time, There will be a lot of talk about what votes look like in that state. Yet again, with the early voting health warning above.
Four years ago, some of the previous counts in Florida had favored Hillary Clinton around 12:30 a.m. but by 4 a.m. it was clear that Trump had won the all-important state.
Surveys in North Carolina Y Ohio will close at 12.30 pm NBC’s Chuck Todd said this week that they could call the entire contest for Biden if it looks like he’s winning there at the time.
Probably the most important state in this year’s race is Pennsylvania, and Trump in particular needs to keep the status he won four years ago to get reelected.
Pennsylvania the polls close at 1 am, But this is a state that will not classify any of your early or mail ballots until Election Day, which means the count could be slower.
Pennsylvania was finally included in Trump’s column around 6.30 a.m. four years ago, but things could be slower this year.
Voting in the vast majority of Texas also closes at 1 a. M.So keep an eye on that to see if the Democrats can make a breakthrough.
Other crucial states to watch are the Midwest states of Wisconsin Y Michigan, which together with Pennsylvania were the basis of Trump’s victory in 2016.
Both states are doing healthy polls in favor of Biden, but after the Democrats were caught last time, they won’t take much for granted. The polls close in the states at 2 a. M..
Some of the other states to watch closely 2 a. M., among them Arizona, MinnesotaY Wisconsin.
No news is bad news
Support the magazine
your contributions help us continue to deliver the stories that are important to you
Support us now
So how late will I have to stay up?
This team has a lot to be proud of. Whatever happens tonight, thanks for everything. pic.twitter.com/x13iWOzILL
– Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) November 9, 2016
Depending on how tight the contests are, many US networks will begin announcing state results soon after polls close.
So in general, things will start to get interesting after 12.30 pm, but 2 a. M. it might be more realistic to get a clear idea of how things are developing.
The campaigns themselves usually have the most important information up front about how things look, and it was right before 2 a. M. In 2016 Hillary Clinton sent a sinister-sounding tweet about how she had performed.
It wasn’t clear at the time that Clinton was on the brink of defeat, but things were going in that direction. So that might be a good time to aim if you want to get an idea of which way the wind is blowing, but if you want a conclusion, you may have to wait a bit longer.
Clinton was scheduled for an election night in New York City four years ago, but instead of going out to deliver a concession speech, her campaign chairman, John Podesta, was sent to say the campaign would be waiting until morning.
In the previous two elections, both Mitt Romney and John McCain delivered election night concession speeches approximately 5 am.
So if you have a work day ahead of you tomorrow, one option is to set your alarm for maybe 5 am and look since.
[ad_2]