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Covid-19 does not appear to have caused a large increase in mortality statistics, in September, as new figures show that the number of deaths in that month was “in line” with the mortality statistics of previous years.
According to an analysis of death notices on RIP.ie, published Monday by the Central Statistics Office (CSO), the excess mortality between March and September is estimated at between 876 and 1,192 deaths.
Excess mortality is a term used to describe the number of deaths that occurred in excess of what you would have expected to see under normal conditions.
However, this latest excess mortality figure is substantially lower than the 1,806 Covid-19 deaths officially reported to the National Public Health Emergency Team (NPHET) during this period.
The Health Information Quality Authority (Hiqa) previously suggested that the official death toll from Covid-19 in Ireland was exaggerated.
In a July report, the health watchdog suggested that this could be due to the inclusion within the official figures of people who were infected with the coronavirus at the time of death, but whose cause of death may have been ” predominantly “due to other factors.
Death notices
According to the CSO, the number of death notices observed in September 2020 was 2,353, broadly in line with mortality statistics from previous years.
Statistician John Flanagan said the “most notable” increase in death notifications was in April, during the peak of the pandemic.
“The number of death notices increased to 3,502 in April from 2,861 in March. By comparison, the average number of deaths in April for the years 2013-2017 was about 2,500. Death notices for September amount to 2,353, ”he said.
The CSO added that the number of death notices decreased in May and June, to 2,639 and 2,205 respectively, and has begun to slowly increase between July and September 2020 in line with trends seen in previous years.
The CSO report also details data on the place of death in more than 80 percent of the cases, using information on the death notice such as “at home,” “in the loving care of staff in a nursing home. appointed “or” peacefully, in a named hospice. “
The information on the place of death shows an increase in death notices that mention “the home: as the place of death, from 16.1% in October 2019 to 25.8% in September 2020.
The number of death notices mentioning Hiqa registered senior facilities decreased from a peak of 1,237 in April 2020 to 457 in September 2020.
Regarding the breakdown by gender, 51.2% of all death notifications in September were men, while 48.8% were women.
The highest percentage of death notices for men was in March 2020 (53.3 percent), when there were 89 deaths of men due to Covid-19 compared to 36 deaths of women.
However, the CSO cautioned that this figure is based on “experimental data” and assumes, in the absence of deaths from Covid-19, mortality would have followed a similar trajectory to previous years. It does not take into account the aging of the population or other factors.
The CSO analysis figures are compiled through an examination of all death notices published on RIP.ie rather than the figures from the official death registry.
This is because the average time between the date of death and the publication of a death notice on RIP.ie is only 1.1 days compared to the legal time limit of three months for the official registration of deaths in the state.
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