In retrospect, Cousins’ deal was a steal


I’ve been trying week after week since the start of the 2018 season to find out why Minnesota Vikings fans spend so much of their personal energy explaining the first potential franchise quarterback we ever had as millennials (that was not immediately cut short via knee injury a la Bridgewater or Culpepper). Beyond the emotional attachment to Teddy, then Case Keenum, I have to think the real reason comes on dollars and cents.

Breaking News: The Vikings gave Kirk Cousins ​​the biggest contract in NFL history in 2018. Many immediately felt that the Vikings not only paid too much, but they ruined their opportunity to capitalize on years of measured team building by paying too much cap-busting QB.

That was then.

Now? Is it really honest mention the Cousins ​​deal as one of those things?

As expected, once most elite QBs saw Cousins ​​deals, they all reworked their deals to make sure that if Cousins ​​not only made that money, but guaranteed that money, they would have to make more. And more make they have.

The most obvious and extreme example of this is new face of the NFL Patrick Mahomes, which according to Betway signed a $ 450 million 10-year deal this off-season.

That is not the best example of how or why Cousins’ deal in 2018 made sense for the Vikings, even though it explains why Cousins ​​will be a fully guaranteed $ 45 million in 2022, once the first second of the first day of the first week of the 2021 season begins.

That’s what we’re doing take a look at Cousins ​​treat first in a few different ways. First is the current percentage of the Vikings’ salary cap that includes his deal, to see where his numbers pile up and what it means for the rest of the Vikings.

As you can see, Cousins ​​’deal is 16.65% of the Vikings’ cap. If you look at Cousins’ peers, and also the fact that he’s the second-most quarterback in NFL history, it seems like money well spent by a franchise that does not have the same QB game full back-to-back 16-game seasons since 1978.

From here, I’ll re-publish an article I wrote last season before Cousins ​​helped the Vikings overtake the Saints in the Wild-Card round of the playoffs (behind the pass in the 27th ranked blocking offensive line, however). ), as an article by The Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg, titled ‘Kirk Cousins ​​went from bust to bargain this season’ sketches a rather fifty metric for examining the influence of Cousins ​​per dollar by the Vikings.

Thanks In his article, Greenberg uses a metric fan TruMedia which added expected points per game deducted from the addition of a new quarterback. After finishing the 14th “best” passer in the NFL last season, Cousins ​​added just 0.2 expected points (which is, according to Greenberg) the number of points scored above what we would expect, given the down, distance and field position of each game. ”) How they determine that I’m sure depends on some fancy algorithm that would give me a nosebleed, so I’ll just take their word for it.

Comparing those achievements to Cousins’ 2018 salary, Cousins’ earned ‘only $ 1.1 million in cap dollars in 2018 (compared to his $ 24 million dollar hit). That, yes, I get the frustration of last season, even if I do not really agree with the logic (because the offense was a complete mess last season from the line after running back, all the way to the offensive the coordinators(plural)). But, again, let’s take this as a gospel for the sake of argument, because it’s at least consistent in analyze quarterback game only, so it will give us an idea of ​​what Cousins’ performance in 2019 will mean.

Speaking of which, Greenberg discusses the misery of starting the Cousins ​​and the Vikings, and then goes into the post of Cousins’ Week 4 breakout. According to Greenberg /TruMedia, the Vikings ‘offensive scores eight points per game more than expected on Cousins’ throws (that included weeks 1 through 4). That means, according to their statistics, that Cousins ​​is performing at a level that requires a salary of $ 47 million this season. That amount is so high that it almost makes it to 2018, bringing his total earned salary to $ 48.3 million from the $ 53 million he made.

You can see that below, courtesy of TruMedia and Greenberg (like The Washington Post):

That means if Cousins ​​has a 2022 equal to In 2019, he would earn more than his $ 45 million salary. May center-turn right guars-directed guard Pat Elflein and Dakota Dozier helps the left, hopefully the Vikings will improve in terms of their pass protection in 2020. It seems that with every improvement the air could be the limit for Cousins ​​and this offensive of the Vikings.

Otherwise, Cousins ​​will really have to concentrate on the advice he received from the Vikings’ legend Fran Tarkenton this off-season and continue to run like his life and the Vikings ’passing game depends on it.