One of the tropical disturbances in the Atlantic Ocean shows signs of life on Wednesday, as the hurricane season 2020 appears ready to kick in high gear in the next few days.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami said Wednesday morning that it is now following three tropical waves in the Atlantic basin that have the potential for development, including two with “high” labels with a chance more than 60%.
“The disruption with the greatest chance of development in the next few days is the one approaching the Leeward Islands,” the NHC said.
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According to the NHC, the first disturbance, which is about 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, is likely to cause a depression like a tropical storm the next day or two.
Forecasters put the formation chance at 90% and said the system would continue to produce a “concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms” on its western side.
The system is expected to continue to move 15 to 20 mph from the southern and western parts of the tropical Atlantic in the coming days.
Another disturbance in the eastern Caribbean also shows some signs of organization on Wednesday, as it produces disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
A tropical depression is likely to form here in the coming days as it stretches across the Caribbean to the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.
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The NHC said there is an 80% chance that this will develop into a tropical depression within the next 5 days if the system reaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
Areas in the Caribbean towards the Yucatán Peninsula could see impact later this week than through this coming weekend.
A third, “powerful tropical wave” produces a large area of thunderstorms over Guinea and
Sierra Leone as it moves across the African continent. While this system moves across the warm waters of the Atlantic Ocean, forecasters said environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to some development as it enters the eastern Atlantic Ocean.
Forecasters set formation chances at 20% over the next five days, but said conditions at the beginning of new week could be “less favorable”.
The next tropical system to form would be named “Laura”, followed by “Marco”. These two storms could possibly set a different record this year if they form next week, according to Colorado State University’s hurricane research scientist Phil Klotzbach.
The current record dates for the earliest 12th and 13th Atlantic named storms are August 29 and September 2, according to Klotzbach.
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NOAA forecasts now call for 25 named storms with winds of 39 mph or higher; of those, seven to 10 could be hurricanes. Among those hurricanes, three to six will be large, classified as category 3, 4 and 5 with winds of 111 mph or higher.
That is well above an average year. According to data from 1981 to 2010, these are 12 named storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. So far this year, there have been 11 named storms, including two hurricanes.
The most active stretch of the hurricane season is from late August to early October when most storms and major hurricanes are seen.
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The Atlantic Hurricane Season 2020 runs from June 1 to November 30 and includes the names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene , Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred.
Fox News’ Janice Dean contributed to this report.