Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in the battlefield states of Michigan, Minnesota and Pennsylvania, according to Fox News statewide registered voter polls.
Biden benefits from strong support among women, non-white voters and those who live in suburban areas, while Trump suffers from mediocre performance among men and white voters.
In each state’s head-to-head showdown, the president performs less than both his 2016 vote share and his current job approval rating, and Biden’s advantage is greater than the poll’s sampling margin of error .
At the same time, much could change between now and the elections, which are more than three months away, and many voters are still undecided.
In particular, voters in each of these states can request and return absentee ballots beginning in mid-September.
This is how the results are broken down state by state:
Michigan
Biden maintains his leadership in Michigan, beating Trump by 9 points, 49-40 percent. In April, he was ahead by 8 points (49-41 percent).
Eleven percent of voters are undecided or support a third-party candidate.
Women give Biden his leadership. They support him over Trump by an 18-point margin (53-35 percent), while support among men divides 45 percent each.
CLICK HERE TO READ THE RESULTS OF THE MICHIGAN SURVEY
Biden is also ahead of non-whites (+61 points), independents (+19), voters 65 and older (+17) and suburban voters (+9). Among the 53 percent who are extremely interested in the election, Biden is up 10 points (53-43 percent).
Trump’s top groups include whites without a college degree (+10 points) and white voters overall (+5).
About 45 percent of Michigan voters approve of the job he is doing, while 54 percent disapprove. That puts him underwater for 9 points. In April, their ratings were backwards only 4 (47-51 percent).
Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, is much better, with 64 percent approving of her job performance versus 33 percent disapproving, mostly unchanged since April.
Trump won Michigan in 2016 by a thin 0.23-point blade with 47.5 percent support. The last time the state voted for the Republican presidential candidate before that was George HW Bush in 1988.
More voters trust Biden in race relations (by 18 points) and the coronavirus (+19). The two deal roughly with China (Biden +2) and run the economy (Trump +3).
Meanwhile, more than half like Biden (53 percent favorable vs. 42 percent unfavorable), and more than half dislike Trump (44 percent favorable vs. 54 percent unfavorable).
In the race for the United States Senate, Democratic Senator Gary Peters is ahead of Republican John James by 48-38 percent. In April, it was 46-36 percent.
Minnesota
Biden has the upper hand on key issues in a state Trump is leading. More Minnesota voters, by wide margins, trust Biden to handle race relations (by 28 points), coronavirus (+23), and China (+10). By managing the economy, they broke up (Biden +1).
CLICK HERE TO READ THE RESULTS OF THE MINNESOTA SURVEY
That places Biden at 13 points in the presidential race, 51 percent versus Trump’s 38 percent. Another 12 percent are unsure or endorse an outside candidate.
Clinton won Minnesota in 2016 by just 1.52 points, a much narrower margin than former President Obama’s victories in 2012 (by 7.69 points) and 2008 (by 10.24 points).
Biden’s lead over Trump comes primarily from women (+26 points), whites with a college degree (+25), seniors (+18), and suburban voters (+12).
Trump is up 4 points among men and 2 points among whites without a college degree. Nationwide, Trump won untitled targets for 36 points, men for 11, and suburban voters for 2, according to 2016 validated voter data from the Pew Research Center.
Additionally, Biden gains the support of 92 percent of Democrats, while Trump receives 85 percent among Republicans.
Among voters who are extremely interested in the election, Biden’s leadership expands to 27 points (61-34 percent).
Most approve of the work their governor is doing, and disapprove of the president. Two-thirds, 65 percent, approve of Democratic Governor Tim Walz (30 percent disapprove). That’s more than 20 points more than Trump’s 42 percent approval. A 57 percent majority disapproves.
Trump’s personal favorable rating is net negative by an 18-point margin: 40 percent view him positively, while 58 percent have an unfavorable opinion (including 48 percent “strongly” unfavorable).
Biden’s rating is net positive at 10 points: 53-43 percent (with 28 percent “strongly” unfavorable).
By a 60-33 percent margin, voters have a positive opinion of Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar. For Senator Tina Smith, she is 41 percent favorable and 25 percent unfavorable, while 35 percent cannot rate her.
The majority, 80 percent, have a favorable opinion of their local police, while 56 percent view the Black Lives Matter movement positively. George Floyd, an unarmed black man, died while in police custody on May 25 in Minneapolis.
Pennsylvania
Biden is 50-39 percent ahead of Trump in Keystone State.
Their lead grows to 15 points among voters who are extremely interested in the election: 55-40 percent.
Overall, 1 in 10 is undecided or endorses a third candidate. In April, Biden increased 50-42 percent.
CLICK HERE TO READ THE RESULTS OF THE PENNSYLVANIA SURVEY
Trump leads among rural voters (+17 points) and whites without a college degree (+10).
Biden has dominant tracks among those under 35 (+29), suburban voters (+26) and women (+17).
Candidates tie 45 percent among whites.
Trump is considered to be better able to handle the economy (+5 points), while Biden is more reliable in race relations (+22) and the coronavirus (+18). Voters are equally likely to trust candidates to deal with China (Biden +3).
Trump beat Clinton in Pennsylvania by less than one point (0.72) in 2016. From 1992 to 2012, the state voted Democrat.
Sixty-three percent approve of the work being done by Democratic Governor Tom Wolf, including nearly 4 in 10 Republicans (36 percent).
Trump’s approval of job performance is 43 percent, with a majority of 56 percent disapproving. His personal rating is almost identical: 42 percent favorable vs. 56 percent unfavorable.
It is the opposite for Biden, since 55 percent have a favorable view of him and 43 percent unfavorable.
Approximately 6 out of 10 view the Black Lives Matter movement favorably (57 percent), more than 8 out of 10 view their local police positively (84 percent) and almost 9 out of 10 have a positive opinion of the people who use masks (88 percent).
Conducted July 18-20, 2020, under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company (R), these Fox News polls include interviews with 756 Michigan voters, 776 Minnesota voters, and 793 selected Pennsylvania voters randomly from state voter files. , who spoke to live interviewers from landlines and cell phones. In all three states, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for the total sample of registered voters.
Fox News’s Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
