MIAMI, Florida – Due to the presence of Tropical Depression ETA (formerly Investment 96L and Hurricane ETA) on the Caribbean, NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a public consultation on Friday, November 6, 2020 at 10 a.m. Eastern Standard.
This is the first time an Atlantic hurricane season in the Greek alphabet has reached the name Eta.
This is the twentieth hurricane of the 2020 season, setting a record for the number of hurricanes established in 2005.
Tropical frustration and projected path
The tropical depression is located approximately 275 miles west-southwest of Eta Gand Cayman and is moving 12 miles per hour (19 km / h) northeast.
NHC forecasters say a northeast pace is expected from a fast forward move early Sunday.
A turn to the north and northwest is expected on Sunday afternoon.
On the official NHC forecast track, Eta’s center will cross the northwestern Caribbean Sea tonight, head to the Cayman Islands on Saturday, near Central Cuba on Saturday night and Sunday and Sunday late night contacting the Florida Keys or South Florida.
Tropical frustration and computer models
Both the ECMWF European model and the GFS American model predict that ETA will depart for the Cuba and Florida Keys.
The latest runs of the dynamic models have turned to further north tracks on Sunday and Monday, some of which
Track near or above the southern part of the Florida Peninsula in 48 to 60 hours.
Forecasts of the new NHC track have been adjusted slightly north during that time and TVC lies between multi-model consensus and HFIP revised consensus support.
Tropical Depression and Category Power
With gusts in the tropical depression Eta, the maximum sustained wind is 35 MPL (55 km / h).
It is predicted that there will be tropical storms again overnight, with strong winds expected by Sunday.
Tropical frustration and clocks and warnings
a Tropical Storm Warning Effective for the Cayman Islands and the Cuban province of Camagui, Kiego de Avila, Sancti Spirius, Villa Clara, Cienfuegos and Matanzaz.
a Tropical Storm Watch Effective for the Cuban province of La Habana, Artemisa y Mayabek, Pinar del Rio and Isle Youth F Youth; Jupiter Inlet to the south around the Florida Peninsula, Bonita Beach, Lake Okakobi, Florida Keys, Florida Bay; And the Northwest Bahamas, including Abacus, Andros Island, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eluthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence.
September 10 was the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season where tropical cyclonic activity increased significantly. The hurricane season in the first half of November is still at an increased level of activity, according to historical data from NOAA and the National Weather Service.
NOAA and Colorado State University have forecast a “highly active” 2020 Atlantic hurricane season that runs from June 1 to November 30.
