The COVID-19 epidemic in Britain is shrinking with R estimated below 1



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Britain’s COVID-19 epidemic is narrowing slightly with the breeding number “R” estimated to be below 1, hinting at the impact of England’s second national lockdown to reduce infections, government scientists said on Friday.

The number of new infections is dropping 0-2% every day, the UK Government Office of Science said, after it was estimated to be growing 0-2% at the launch of last week. The R number was estimated to be between 0.9 and 1, meaning that every 10 infected people will continue to infect between 9 and 10 people, down from last week’s range of 1.0 to 1.1.

Government scientists said the estimates were based on the most recent data up to November 24, but that the delays meant that the impact of national restrictions introduced in England on November 5 was just being seen and could not yet be assessed. completely. “R estimates for England may continue to decline in the future and may be below 1 for all regions,” the Government Office for Science said in a statement.

England’s national lockdown expires on Wednesday and will be replaced by a regional system of tiered restrictions. A third of England faces the tightest COVID restrictions and overall the framework is tighter, after the old tier system failed to keep infection rates low and prompted Prime Minister Boris Johnson to announce the last national blockade on October 31.

Also read: I feel great, says British Prime Minister Boris Johnson while remaining in COVID-19 self-isolation

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