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JTA – The Jewish vote in the upcoming US presidential election should be very close to how it has been divided since 2012, according to a new study from the Pew Research Center.
The poll, conducted earlier this month and released Tuesday, found that 70% of American Jews plan to vote for former Vice President Joe Biden, while 27% plan to vote for President Donald Trump.
If those numbers are confirmed, they will be nearly identical to the Jewish result in 2016, when Pew found that Hillary Clinton won 71% of the Jewish vote versus 25% for Trump. In 2012, the numbers were slightly higher for the Republican candidate: Barack Obama won 69% of the Jewish vote while Mitt Romney won 30%.
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The margin of error for Jewish respondents in the Pew poll is quite large, 9.6%, which means that the result is statistically similar to the Jewish vote in previous elections.
The poll is a blow to Jewish Republicans’ hopes that Trump’s record in office, including recognition of Israeli territorial claims, brokering peace between Israel and two Arab states, and withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal , could change the vote in your favor.
Groups of protesters gather in the Borough Park neighborhood of Brooklyn to denounce the closings of their neighborhood due to a spike in COVID-19 cases on October 7, 2020 in New York City. (Spencer Platt / Getty Images / AFP)
The Pew poll also found that 35% of American Jews approve of the work Trump has done in office, similar to his approval rating of 38% among Americans overall.
Pew found that 52% of Americans overall prefer Biden, while 42% prefer Trump. A vast majority of Jews, Hispanic Catholics, Black Protestants, and nonreligious voters support Biden. The majority of white Christians, including the vast majority of white evangelicals, support Trump.
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