In view of the pre-election campaign college lege, we are moving Arizona from a weak Democratic to a true tussle-up state of war. It is a state that has been at the very center of the Democratic Party’s project to expand its map over the past decade, and 2020 could be the year it flips. However, an out-of-state poll in the last 24 hours indicates that it is a margin-error f-error tossup state. Arizona has won only once in the last Ari0 years by a Democratic presidential candidate, and at the same time Bill Clinton won the state in his 1996 election campaign.
With the Democratic success in the suburbs during the Trump era, the immigrant demographics in the state give Democrats every reason to be optimistic there. But there’s Trump’s poll numbers, which we see better on the map than other Democratic-leaning states, probably showing this state more than the Upper Midwest and Rust Belt in its middle.
Of course, the overall outlook for one-day election day does not change much. Biden is making his way to the electorate of 27 states and the District of Columbia has a total of 203 electoral votes with a strong base of 16 states. If you then add in seven states and one congressional district in Nebraska is currently leaning in that direction, Biden gets a total of 279 election votes – enough to win the presidency.
Trump’s path to 270 is based on explosive election day turnout with early, mail-in and absentee votes in biden record-breaking for profit. In our final view, Trump has 20 states with a total of 125 election votes in total. If you are currently rocking Texas’ electoral 38 electoral votes in your own way, the President is on 1,163 voters.
We currently have six states and one congressional district in Maine, with a total electoral electoral vote.
It is clear that Trump’s path to re-election is much shorter than Biden’s, but he remains a viable one. And, while 2020 is a fundamentally different political climate than 2016, it showed the ability to pave such a path just four years ago.
Solid Republicans:
Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (), Nebraska (), North Dakota (), Oklahoma (), South Carolina (), South Dakota (), Tennessee (11), Utah (), West Virginia (), Wyoming (3) (125 in total)
Linus Republican:
Texas (38) (38 total)
The battlefield says:
Arizona (11), Florida (29), Georgia (16), Iowa (6), Maine 2nd Congressional District (1), North Carolina (15), Ohio (18) (96 total)
Lean democracy:
Colorado (9), Michigan (16), Minnesota (10), Nebraska 2nd Congressional District (1), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), Pennsylvania (20), Wisconsin (10) (76 total)
Solid Democratic:
California (55), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), DC (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (20), Maine (3), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), New Jersey (14) , New Mexico (5), New York (29), Oregon (7), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Virginia (13), Washington (12) (203 total)
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