The Reagan Health Authority on Friday announced 11 suspected new or suspected cases, and the state’s new MingDaling showed that without more focus on limiting the spread, there could be a dramatic increase in cases of climate change. .
Dapdn Seidlinger, state epidemiologist and state health officer, outlines three scenarios. The most promising thing is that with a 10% reduction in transmission, about 290 cases are reported every day and hospitalization will increase to 20 per day. If the transmission stays at current levels, Seidlinger said, the number of reported cases per day increases to about 570 and approximately 40 people need to be hospitalized every day.
In the most dire scenario, a 5% increase in transmission could lead to an increase in daily reported cases in 48 hospitals per day.
And those case calculations don’t show the whole picture; These are the only numbers that will be identified by the test and will be reported daily by the state. If the transmission rate remains at the current level, the number of daily infections could exceed 1,300, according to Matilding, the estimated number of cases today, which could be 2,200.
To avoid this, Siedlinger urged Oregonians to study the common sense measures recommended to prevent the spread of the virus, especially by lowering the temperature and spending more time inside.
“The virus is extraordinarily contagious and as the weather changes and preventive measures become more important than ever,” he said, wearing masks, practicing social distance, washing hands frequently and gathering in small groups. There are best ways to prevent the virus from spreading.
“The numbers are perfect and show why we should take this virus so seriously.”
Where new cases are by county: Benton (2), Klamas Kamas Mus (45), Columbia (3), Koos (5), Crook (1), Curry (1), Dashuts (18), Douglas (5), Jackson (18), Jefferson (3), Klamath (2), Lane (53), Lin (12), Malhaur (17), Marion (35), Moro (5), Maltonomh (86), Poke (13), Tilamuk (3), Umatila (17), Vasco (2), Washington (58) and Yamhill (14).
New casualties: The 612th killer is a 50-year-old Jefferson County man with underlying medical conditions. He Oct Oct. Positive October tested positive and died October 14 at his residence.
The 613th victim is an 82-year-old Washington County man with underlying medical conditions. Positive Qt. 5 tested positive and died Oct. 12 at Providence St. Vincent Medical Center.
Curry County is an 88-year-old woman with medical conditions under the 614th fatality. He tested positive on August 8 and died on October 13. Officers were working to confirm where he died.
The 615th casualty is a 65-year-old Washington County woman with underlying medical conditions. She tested positive on August 7 and died on September 23 at Providence Portland Medical Center.
Hood River County is a 94-year-old woman with medical conditions under the 616th fatality. 8 Qt. He tested positive on the 8th and died on the 14th. Officers were working to confirm where he died.
The 617th victim is an 81-year-old Multnomah County man with underlying medical conditions. He tested positive on September 6 and died at his residence on October 2.
Prevalence of infection: State officials reported 386 new confirmed infections from 88 people tested, a two. %% positivity rate higher than Thursday’s rate, equivalent to a two-point surge.
Who is infected: Newly confirmed or assumed infections increased in the following age groups: 0-9 (19); 10-19 (44); 20-29 (114); 30-39 (78); 40-49 (58); 50-59 (41); 60-69 (31); 70-79 (17); 80 and older (7).
Who is in the hospital: The state reported that 149 Oregonians with coronavirus confirmation were currently in hospital Friday. Reg Reagan is just below its capacity, with hundreds of hospital beds and ventilators available.
Since it started: In Oregon, 38,935 have been confirmed or thought to be infected, with the lowest number of 617 deaths in the country. To date, 773,225 reg regonians have been tested.
– Kale Williams; [email protected]; 503-294-4048; sfkale