Among potential voters, Biden returned 54% and Trump 42%. Biden has been at the forefront of every CNN poll on match CNN polls since 2019, and since spring he has gained a statistically significant advantage in every high-quality national poll.
There is no indication that Trump has managed to garner significant new supporters since his narrow victory in the 201st election, a four-year election campaign.
With the exception of major changes to the landscape in the final days of the race, the possibility of Trump closing the gap depends on election day voting. This poll found that people who have already voted (% 64% from Biden% or% Trump) or who plan to vote early, but have not done so at the time they visited (% 63% Biden to 33% Trump) two thirds support. Trump leads 59% to 36%, though, of those who say they plan to vote on election day.
Demographics have defined the politics of the country in the last four years. Women break down as fast as 61% to 37% for Biden. Among men, it is almost divided, 48% for Trump and 47% for Biden. Color voters support Democrats by about 50-point margins, from 71% to 24%, while White voters split 50% for Trump to 48% for Biden.
The close numbers between male and white voters make a significant difference between whites by education and by gender. Women of color (77 77% Biden to 21% Trump) and white women (54% Biden to 45% Trump) both break Biden like men of color (64% Biden to ૨%% Trump). White men, however, are 56% to 41% in favor of Trump.
Those with a college degree degree favor Biden by more than 30 points, while those without a degree split evenly. Among white voters, the difference is greater. White voters with college degrees favor Biden by 58% to 40%. Those white voters who don’t have a four-year degree are a mirror image, breaking 58% for Trump and 40% for Biden. Among those white voters with degrees, the gender gap is relatively small, but between those white women without degrees (49% Biden to 49% Trump) and white men without degrees (68% Trump to 0% Biden) 38 38 points. .
And the seniors, who turned in the direction of the Democrats in the 2018 election, are strongly in Biden’s corner in this poll. Overall, 55% of potential voters are Democrats 65 years of age or older, 44% Trumps. Biden also leads by a large margin in voters under the age of 35 (68% Biden to 30% Trump), while voters between the ages of 35 and 64 are evenly divided between the two candidates (48% return of each candidate).
The President’s approval rating in the poll is adults૨% which will be rejected by all adults. Among potential voters, it is equal to 42% approval 56% disapproval. The number of approvals in one of the 12 polls taken by CNN since October 2019 has barely developed in the last year, between 40% and 45%. Now that number is also barely different from CNN’s first approval rating on CNN. Voting in 2017, when 44% approved and 53% disapproved.
Only 4 out of 10 Americans say things are going well in the country at the moment (39%). After 1980 (1980 1980% runs well) and 1 in 1980 (% runs 8% well): This figure has dropped only twice in the years since 1 re-elected.
All the data point to an election that is a referendum on an undeclared president, and a large portion of supporters of both candidates are making decisions based on their feelings about Trump. Among Biden’s supporters, 48% say their vote is more against Trump than Biden’s, while 48% say it is for Biden instead of the president. Although it is still an anti-Trump vote, it is in favor of the Biden vote compared to the previous vote in the cycle. On the other hand, about 8 out of 10 Trump supporters (79%) say their votes are in favor of the president instead of Biden (17%).
Yet, the message of the Trump campaign in the final weeks of the campaign has been consistently negative about Biden. The poll suggests he is making a slight difference in terms of the former vice president. The favorable rating of the Democratic nominee in the poll remains largely positive: 55% of potential voters have a favorable opinion and 42% are negative, which is almost the same as early October. The number of Trumps is as negative as it was earlier this month: 57% of people have a negative opinion of him while 41% have a favorable opinion.
In 2016, voters who held negative views of both Trump and Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton were sharply broken in favor of Trump, according to exit polls. But that pool of voters is small with this year’s candidates, down from 18% in the 2011 CNN exit poll to 4% now. Most people are in favor of Biden, but not Trump (511%), while only% of% are in favor of Trump, but not Biden.
Biden maintains advantages over Trump because the candidate has the potential to unite the country (60% Biden to 34% Trump), who cares about people like you (54% to 37%) and protects Americans from harm (52% to 45%). %). Probably voters are divided, however, over which candidate has the stamina and sharpness to become president (47% say Trump does, 46% biden), the point Trump focuses on, which has increased Biden’s age during the campaign.
Probably voters will consider the candidate’s position on issues important to their vote rather than having the candidate’s leadership and personal qualities. But a subset that focuses on individual qualities quickly breaks down Biden (% 1% support Biden, ૨ B% Trump), while those who make points favor Trump (54%% Trump to 43 43% Biden).
Overall, however, Biden is more often seen as a candidate with a clear plan to solve the country’s problems, 54% say Biden, 41% Trump. The former vice president has an advantage over Trump for racial inequality (60% biden to 36% Trump), coronavirus outbreak (57% to 39%), health care (57% to 41%), crime and handling. Security (52% to 46%) and Supreme Court nominations (51% to 44%). Still, Trump has regained the edge of handling the economy (51% from Trump to 46% from Biden).
In general, most potential voters see Biden’s policy proposals as likely to move the country in the right direction (53%), while most say Trump’s proposals point in the wrong direction (53%).
And all of this plays against the background of the spiking coronavirus epidemic. Eight months after most of the country’s virus was stopped to slow its spread, 0% of Americans say the worst outbreak is yet to come. Only half say they are comfortable going back to their regular routine. In addition, 40% say the economy is still in recession due to the virus, while only 29% say the economy has begun to recover.
On all of these steps in the fight against the coronavirus where the country stands, Biden voters and Trump voters have completely opposite views. Among Biden supporters, 77% say the worst epidemic is ahead, while Trump 78% of Trump voters feel it is behind us. More than 8 out of 10 Trump supporters (84%) say they are comfortable returning to their regular forms today, while 76% are not Biden voters. And 64% of Biden supporters say the economy is still developing, while Trump’s voters૨% believe it is booming.
CNN Paul S.S.R.S. Were conducted in a random national sample of 1,005 adults who arrived on landline or cellphone by live interviewer, including 2600 potential voters, from 23 to 26 October. The results of the full sample have a sample error margin of plus or minus 6.6 percent points; That’s a plus or minus 3.8 points for the result among potential voters.
Correction: This story corrects the margin of error for overall results and outcomes among potential voters.
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