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India is back on the border.
On August 31, Western Theater Command press spokesman Colonel Zhang Shuili noted that the Indian military undermined the consensus reached in previous multi-level talks between the two sides and once again illegally crossed the line on the southern bank. from Pangong Lake and near Reqin Pass, and blatantly provoked. Cause tension at the border.
On the same day, the Indian Defense Ministry also issued a statement stating that the armed forces of China and India clashed near Lake Pangong in the border area from the night of August 29 until the early hours of August 30. August.
What is the truth? Looking at the statement from the Indian Ministry of Defense, you will find that they actually lost their word.
This is a screenshot of the statement from the Indian Ministry of Defense. Note that the Indian side first said that the People’s Liberation Army “acted to change the status quo” without any basis, and then changed the conversation, saying that it “anticipated the actions of the People’s Liberation Army” and “thwarted China’s intentions. “
If you lie too much, it’s easy to reveal yourself. The People’s Liberation Army did nothing, how did the Indian Army “preventive”? Isn’t it just crossing the line?
There is a point in India’s statement that is consistent with China, that is, the Indian military has done bad things. The Chinese side said that the Indian army had crossed the border and illegally occupied and controlled it.
Therefore, no matter which side of the statement by China and India is concerned, it is not difficult to find that this time the provocation of the Indian army is an indisputable fact, and the statement of the Indian Ministry of Defense is strong evidence.
So the question is, why does India have to choose? Didn’t India just find out about an incident in May and get beaten to find teeth? Do you have a habit of being hit and think you weren’t hit enough last time?
If you look at the entire region, you will find that India’s problems are not all against China. In late June, India launched an attack on Pakistan, announcing that it had officially curtailed its diplomatic relations with Pakistan, and even began broadcasting the weather in multiple areas on the Pakistani side of the border, which was seen as a provocative act.
At the time, the American magazine “Foreign Policy” analyzed this and believed that the Bharatiya Janata Party under Modi’s leadership was trying to consolidate its political base by emphasizing nationalist commitments, while the target of deviation was often traditional enemies and long-term opponents.
It is not unreasonable to analyze India’s provocation against China. Since becoming Prime Minister of India in 2014, Modi has always been known for his relatively tough demeanor, and nationalism is a card he plays often. It is his constant line of thought not to solve border wars in case of trouble.
However, since this year, India has faced problems one after another. Just yesterday, the Indian government announced the economic data for the second quarter, showing a negative GDP growth of 23.9%.This is the largest decline since India began publishing data in 1996, and it has also fallen short of people’s psychological outcomes.
One word, miserable!
The economy is not doing well, according to the analysis of the Indian media themselves, it is because the fight against the epidemic has restricted economic activities. The problem is that the Modi government’s economy is extremely poor and the fight against the epidemic has not been done well.
On August 30, India had 78,761 new cases in a single day, the highest in the world. Bloomberg predicts that if this trend continues, India will soon overtake Brazil and eventually the United States, becoming the most severely affected country in the world.
Having experienced the worsening epidemic situation and economic downturn, finding a neighbor to pick things up at this time may be the most desired option among Indian politicians …
But it must be the dumbest choice.
What is the probability that India will win the battle with China?
zero.
Whether it is a hot or cold weapon, India has never taken advantage of the previous border conflicts between China and India. China’s high ground has its own geographic advantages; Along with the equipment, training and morale of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army, India is not the same. It has been difficult for India to locate equipment.
If the Indian army wants to find fault, it is okay to be sober and sober when you hit the wall.
(The article was originally posted on WeChat’s “World View” public account on China Daily)
