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There has never been a president in the history of the United States who has been indicted twice during one term, and as the term counts, President Trump did so. After the “Capitol Capture” farce that shocked the world, the accusation of “inciting a mob to attack the Capitol” again pushed Trump to the forefront. In the past four years, from widespread fires in international trade to the unfavorable response to preventing and controlling the epidemic, economic shocks have magnified the gap between rich and poor in the United States, and social problems have been repeatedly highlighted. . And what President-elect Biden of the United States will assume is destined not to be easy in four years.
More than a year after being indicted for abusing his power and obstructing Congress, Trump had to face the same situation again. According to the “New York Times” of the United States, the Democrats of the United States House of Representatives proposed a clause to impeach Trump at the 11th local time, accusing him of “inciting a mob to attack the Capitol” last week. At the same time, Democrats in the House of Representatives are also preparing to give US Vice President Pence an ultimatum on the 11th, requiring him to use the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution to remove Trump from office. within 24 hours.
Trump is destined not to be able to survive the last days of his term. It is understood that if Pence does not take action to impeach Trump, the United States House of Representatives will vote to impeach Trump on the 13th. Under the rules, the House of Representatives has the power to initiate impeachment, while the power of judgment is in the hands of the Senate. However, the Senate resumed on the 19th and Trump is scheduled to resign on the 20th, and the impeachment office requires a two-thirds majority of senators to vote for him.
Still, for Trump, January 20 is not the end. Zlobin, an expert at the World Security Institute in Washington, said that if Biden can successfully vote this impeachment proceeding after Biden takes office, Trump will not be able to run again for president in 2024. At the same time, under the influence Trump, the Republican Party will also fall into a stalemate. .
Through impeachment, in addition to the game between the two parties, some changes are destined to take place. For example, a joint American Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) and Ipsos poll released on 10 local time showed that 56% of respondents said Trump should be removed from office. By comparison, Trump was first indicted in 2019. When the poll was conducted, only 40% of Americans expressed support. This has once again highlighted the division of American society and the outbreak of the epidemic has exacerbated this situation.
The same situation has already been warned. In June of last year, behind a national crisis against the epidemic caused by the death of the African-American resident Freud, racial discrimination could no longer explain the full picture of the problem, and the root of the problem of all American society was already paid. There has been long-term inequality in all aspects of employment, education, etc.
On the first day of 2021, a review article in the Washington Post noted that minority communities have been abandoned by the government, the public health system, and the economy. In stark contrast, the income of the country’s wealthy class has not been greatly affected by the epidemic. According to data from the American Association for Fiscal Equity, from mid-March to December 2020, the fortunes of 651 American billionaires increased from $ 2.95 trillion to $ 4.01 trillion.
Even in the economy itself, Trump did not leave behind some favorable factors. After all, the anti-epidemic is unfavorable, and the drag on the economy has also become a key factor in Trump’s defeat in this election. In October last year, the International Monetary Fund predicted that the US economy would contract by 4.3% in 2020. Now that the epidemic has recovered, the recovery of the US economy in 2021 may again be hampered. It’s also for this reason that Biden announced the trillion-dollar stimulus plan not long ago. At the end of last month, the US Congress had just passed a financial aid bill totaling $ 900 billion in response to the epidemic. In Biden’s opinion, these are just a “down payment.”
But the problem now is that Trump’s impeachment has somehow been linked to Biden’s stimulus plan. For example, Biden promised that the trillion-dollar stimulus plan in the first days of taking office could face challenges in the divided Senate, and impeachment of Trump may also cause the stimulus bill to be delayed yet. plus.
Sun Lipeng, a research associate at the American Institute of China Modern International Relations Institute, believes that when the epidemic is not under control and the economy cannot return to normal operations, it can only be supported by strong fiscal stimulus. Now it depends on whether Biden can control the epidemic, but control requires a process, including stimulating the economy and controlling the epidemic, that takes time. Even if Biden releases this policy after going on stage, there will be a cycle, and it will take another cycle to take effect after launch.
What Trump left behind is a divided society and an economy with unfavorable prospects. Sun Lipeng believes that the economic recovery in the United States is still very long. What Biden is announcing now is the sixth round of the stimulus plan. Even if you take the stage to promote, there may be similar stimulus plans in the future. After all, the epidemic is not under control and the economic hit is too great, so we can only keep pushing stimulus plans. But the result is the monetization of debt. The public debt of the United States in the third quarter of last year exceeded 100% of GDP. This debt situation is difficult to recover in the short term. The only thing left to do is to transfer the debt burden, which is monetization. This is the logic of the current United States in pushing for stimulus measures while monetizing.
Beijing Business Daily Reporter Yang YuehanReturn to Sohu to see more
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