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To paraphrase an old Chinese saying: those who win the hearts of the people win the world, and the US presidential elections are “whoever wins the decisive state wins the White House.” This has always been the case, especially this year’s elections.
How many undecided states are there in the 50 states of the United States? There are six, eight, and thirteen, but most people believe that there are six key states that determine the outcome of the elections: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina.
These six states have become indecisive states because, based on the experience of previous presidential elections, in the 50 states of the United States, the majority of voters in some states support the Republican Party, which is called the “red state,” and the majority of voters in some states support the Democratic Party. Call it the “blue state.” In these six states, the majority of voters did not decide who to vote for. They are in a change, so they are called “changing states”. David Brady, a professor of political economy at Stanford University and a polling expert, noted that election analysis should not focus only on national polls – changing states are the key to affecting elections.
The president of the United States is not elected by a voter, but the state electoral college is elected by the voters of each state, and then the president is elected by the electoral college. There are 538 electoral votes in the United States. The number of electoral votes in each state depends on the population of the state. For example, California has a population of 39 million with 55 electoral votes and Texas has a population of 28 million with 38 voters. ticket. The special feature of the US electoral system is that, in addition to Maine and Nebraska, 48 states and the District of Columbia have implemented the “winner-takes-all” system, meaning all electoral votes in this state are awarded to the state. The presidential candidate who received a relative majority of popular votes. Whoever wins more than 270 of the country’s 538 electoral votes will be elected president. In this year’s presidential election, as in previous years, the two candidates each securely hold electoral votes from 20 “red states” and 17 “blue states,” and will then compete for 101 voters in the six swing states. ticket. Among the six swing states, Florida has 29 electoral votes and is a battleground for the two candidates.
Recently, the media published a wide variety of polls for the election of the six undecided states. Most polls show that Biden is ahead of Trump. Polls by partisan media are not credible. For reference, there are some nonpartisan polls. The latest polls by the well-known polling organization Trafalgar Group show that Trump and Biden’s approval ratings in swing states are about the same, both above and below they are within a permissible margin of error.
As for the 8 undecided states or the 13 undecided states, it means that in the 2020 US presidential election, there may be more state voters in the swing, adding more uncertainty about who will win the election in the end. Trump and Biden must not only focus on the six swing states, but also win over swing voters in eight or even 13 states. November 3 is US Presidential Election Day.Trump and Biden, who are 74 and 78 years old, are still running in several undecided states to poll the votes three days before Election Day – the states that Trump will include include Pennsylvania, Michigan, Iowa, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan FL, Pennsylvania. The states where the two candidates made the final sprint were not just six swing states, they expanded into other states considered swings.
The 2020 presidential election is different than before. Some traditional “blue states” and “red states” have shown signs of reversal: California, known as “dark blue,” voters support Trump rallies one after another. The push from blue to red is unprecedented, and Trump also went to California to build momentum; In Texas, known as “Crimson,” the blue tide is rising. It is not impossible for the red state to turn blue. Biden’s campaign team also went to Texas to conduct polls.
Voters in the changing state relied on recognition of the candidate’s philosophy and government policies rather than casting their votes in accordance with the party’s demands. The choice of voters in the changing state represents the dominant public opinion in American society. Therefore, “those who have the changing status get the White House”, of course.
