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Original title: The infection rate is the fastest in the world! India’s epidemic is serious and another crisis is quietly coming Source: Beijing Daily WeChat official account
India is currently the country with the fastest increase in the number of new corona infections in the world, and new diagnoses in a single day continue to set records, approaching the 100,000 mark.
From the March outbreak to July 17, the cumulative number of confirmed cases exceeded one million. Almost 6 months passed. Since then, the time it takes for every 1 million new confirmed cases in India has been shortened – from 3 weeks to 16 days. It only took 12 days to break 4 million cases in early September.
On September 7, India’s confirmed cases surpassed 4.2 million, surpassing Brazil, making it the country with the second highest number of confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in the world, second only to the United States. In just 5 days, this number has increased by 450,000.
India has almost 100,000 new diagnoses in a single day
According to CCTV citing news from the Indian Ministry of Health, at 8:00 local time (10:30 Beijing time) on September 12, the cumulative number of confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in India exceeded 4.65 million, reaching 4,659,994. In the past 24 hours, India has recently confirmed more than 97,000 cases, reaching 97,570, which is the largest single-day increase since the outbreak.
This is India’s 3 consecutive days with over 95,000 new cases in a single day, and the number of new diagnoses in a single day is steadily approaching the 100,000 mark.
On the same day, there were 1,201 new deaths in India, a total of 77,472 cases and 3,624,196 cases were cured and discharged. There are 958,316 confirmed cases.
Indian media: more than 6.4 million people may have been infected
Among the administrative regions of India, there are currently 13 states and regions with more than 100,000 confirmed cases. Among them, Maharashtra, the most severely affected state, has more than 1.01 million confirmed cases, while Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu have exceeded 540,000 and 490,000 respectively.
According to the World Wide Web, Indian medical institutions believe that the above figures do not really reflect the severity of the epidemic in the country. The Medical Research Council of India published the results of its nationwide serum sampling survey for the first time in the Indian Journal of Medical Research. The results show that the confirmed cases in India in early May may have reached 6.4 million or more.
Some Indian experts believe that the epidemic has spread to most of India. Many of the recently reported cases come from small towns or rural areas where the epidemic was not severe before. This shows that “India can no longer control it” and now only Minimize the death rate.
CNN questioned India’s death rate as “too low”
CNN, the major US media outlets, questioned in reports that India’s death statistics “cannot show the whole picture.”
According to the latest statistics from the Johns Hopkins University database, India has reported more than 77,000 deaths, ranking third in the world after the United States and Brazil. However, combined with the cumulative number of confirmed diagnoses, India’s death rate is only 1.7%, which is significantly lower than the world average. In comparison, the death rate is approximately 3% in the United States and Brazil, 11.7% in the United Kingdom, and 12.6% in Italy.
CNN reported that some Indian experts have warned that the country’s death rate figures are “full of holes”, “incomplete and misleading.” Relying on these data to promote resumption of work could lead to worse India.
They noted that, on the one hand, India’s public health infrastructure is fragile and underfunded, and for many years it has been impossible to accurately count the deaths of its citizens or identify the cause of death. Even patients who died in hospitals may not be included in official statistics. Also, there are data losses or errors.
On the other hand, the low number of deaths from the new crown in India is also related to insufficient testing and statistical standards. Princeton University economist Ramana Nasmirian believes that many patients have died without a nucleic acid test. “Therefore, it is not certain that India’s death rate is lower than that of other countries or regions.”
The rally of senior Indian officials declared that the epidemic is over
However, in stark contrast to the severe epidemic is the attitude of some Indian officials towards the epidemic. According to the Global Times citing a report from “India Today” on the 10th, the 9th, a high-ranking Indian MP appeared at a rally and chanted “the epidemic is over”, and the crowd cheered.
According to reports from the Indian media, maintaining social distancing during meetings is very difficult for Indians. At the rally on the 9th, a large number of people violated the rules of social distancing, most of the participants and regional leaders did not wear masks, the crowd at the scene blocked the roads.
In addition to the new crown, there are “old opponents”
But the raging new coronavirus is not India’s only “enemy”. According to overseas.com, the “Economic Times” of India published an article on the 11th titled “India is sitting on a medical time bomb, without reference to the new corona virus”, saying that another dangerous disease has also been spread silently.
Strict epidemic prevention and lockdown measures have reportedly weakened the original routine and important health services. More than a million children in India are not receiving good medical conditions and the birth rate in hospitals is also falling dramatically.
However, the biggest hidden danger is tuberculosis, which is a “long-term fight” for India. There are up to 2.7 million tuberculosis patients in the country, the largest number in the world. According to a rough estimate, 421,000 Indians die of tuberculosis each year. A study by Indian pulmonologist Zaril Udwadia showed that by 2025, India’s medical gap may cause 6.3 million cases of tuberculosis and 1.4 million deaths.
Symptoms of tuberculosis and new coronary pneumonia include shortness of breath, cough, and high fever. How to suppress these two diseases at the same time has become crucial.
“Two-way screening (tuberculosis and new coronary pneumonia) should be done early on, because when looking for one disease, the other is likely to be missed.” Indian public health expert Chapar Mehra said: “India is in For 30 to 40 years, we have not paid much attention to the field of health. We lack political will and moral coercion. It seems that we have not paid enough attention to people’s lives. “
(Source: Beijing Daily Comprehensive CCTV News, Overseas Network, Global Times, Global Network, etc.)