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Peace talks between the Afghan government and the Taliban will begin today in Doha, Qatar (12). The Secretary of State of the United States, Pompeo, will leave on the 10th and will also participate in the peace talks. Pompeo described the peace talks as a “historic” opportunity to end decades of war and bloodshed in Afghanistan. Pompeo goes to Doha, is it really peaceful for Afghanistan?
For the United States, less than two months before the presidential election, Pompeo and other American politicians have high-profile mediation for the peace talks in Afghanistan. The real intention is obvious, but it is to push Trump’s election ahead of the election.
▲ Photo: Pompeo (Xinhua News Agency / Reuters)
Trump announced once again on the 9th that he would drastically reduce the number of US troops stationed in Afghanistan. The US military will shrink from the current roughly 8,600 to 4,000 in a short period of time. He also announced that he would reduce the number of US troops stationed in Iraq. This is to fulfill the promise to reduce the number of troops stationed abroad and allow American soldiers to go home, which was promoted before the 2016 election, and to win the support of voters.
He said that no US military has died in Afghanistan since February, “Afghanistan is making great progress.” Only by allowing the Afghan government to negotiate with the Taliban and creating an atmosphere of peace that Afghanistan is about to initiate can it justify its withdrawal.
He said: “This negotiation is the result of the bold diplomatic efforts of our government in recent months and years. The United States will play an important role in uniting all parties and ending the decades-long war.” Negotiations have not yet started. Put gold on your face first. The quality of the peace talks is hard to say, and American politicians have an atmosphere of full political spectacle.
For Afghanistan, peace is still a long way off.
The United States reached a peace agreement with the Taliban in February this year. At that time, to create an environment conducive to peace talks, the Taliban announced a ceasefire. Pompeo also called it a “historic” opportunity for peace. However, once the agreement was signed, the conflict resumed almost immediately.
▲ People search the blast site in Kabul, the capital of Afghanistan, on September 9. (Xinhua / Midland News Agency)
Can this so-called “historic” opportunity accept the proof of history? I’m afraid more American politicians are exaggerating their achievements.
One of the peace accords between the United States and Tajikistan is the release of prisoners by the Afghan government and the Taliban. For this alone, the Algerian government and the Taliban have prominent differences, and the release has been delayed many times, which can be described as twists and turns. Affected by this, the negotiations originally scheduled for March did not begin until today. Whether today’s negotiations will be better than the previous contacts between the two sides, I am afraid it will be a big question mark. Pompeo also said on his way to Doha that peace talks can be full of disputes.
Even if the two sides reach a peace agreement, after the United States withdraws its troops, how to ensure the implementation of the agreement will also be of concern. The US-Tajikistan peace agreement reached in February did not contain provisions on how to ensure its implementation. It remains to be seen how much the deal may restrict the Taliban.
According to the report of the United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan, Taliban operations in the first half of this year caused 580 civilian deaths and 893 injuries, representing 43% of all civilian casualties. On the 11th, a security forces checkpoint in Nangarhar province in eastern Azerbaijan was attacked by Taliban militants, killing six security force soldiers and wounding five others. This makes people think about what the peace talks between the Afghan government and the Taliban mean.
Even if the two sides reach an agreement, extremist armed organizations such as Al-Qaida and the Islamic State are still active in Afghanistan, and these organizations still pose a threat to peace. After the United States withdraws its troops, the Afghan government will face increased military pressure.
The situation in Afghanistan involves various forces in the region. China has always maintained that Afghan internal negotiations must incorporate the principle of “Afghan owned and directed” to prevent individual countries from monopolizing the negotiating process and unleashing new dangers and hidden problems.
Afghanistan, which has suffered decades of war, is the disaster left by the war launched by the United States. The United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan has recorded more than 100,000 Afghan civilian casualties since the organization began its statistics in 2009. After decades of war, the Afghan people have been displaced and their lives devastated. America cannot escape blame. Even if peace is indeed achieved someday in Afghanistan, this should not become the political capital of certain American politicians, nor should it become a boast.
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