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The majority of congressional seats are expected to be finalized on Election Day, and the 117th United States Congress will run either Conservative or Liberal.
The United States Congress is divided into two houses, the Senate and the House of Representatives. The Senate re-elects about a third of the 100 seats every two years. The 435 seats in the House of Representatives are re-elected every two years.
In view of the power and functions of the Senate, the struggle for majority control of the Senate is particularly striking.
The Republican Party currently has 53 seats in the Senate, the Democrats have 45 seats, and the other two seats are independent, but join the Democratic League. In 2020, 35 seats will be replaced, including the special elections held in Arizona and Georgia, of which 23 seats are held by Republicans and 12 seats by Democrats.
If Democrats want to win the Senate this time, in addition to retaining their original seats, they need to win at least 3-4 Republican seats. If the number of votes is the same, the vice president who is the president of the Senate can join the vote to get out of the deadlock; But if Trump is re-elected, the Democratic Party will have to bridge the four-seat gap to win.
From a purely probabilistic point of view, with more Republican seats to be re-elected, it is not good for the Republican Party to maintain its majority position in the Senate. The Democratic Party persuaded several powerful former governors to run in this year’s election, with the intention of turning the offensive and taking control of the Senate.
The Voice of America counted several key states on the battlefield in the Senate in this election.
Alabama:
According to US media analysis, among the 12 Democratic-controlled Senate seats that are about to be reelected, Senator Doug Jones (D-AL), the current Democratic senator from Alabama, has the highest risk of being overturned. .
In a special election in December 2017, Jones defeated the Republican candidate who had been scandalized at the time by a marginal margin, thus occupying this seat. However, Alabama has always been considered an iron vote of the Republican Party. In the 2016 presidential election, President Trump won nearly 30% in the state. Jones this year faces a challenge from Tommy Tuberville, a Republican candidate who has the public support of President Trump.
Arizona:
Although the Democratic Party may lose a seat in Alabama, the Arizona seat of current Republican Sen. Martha McSally (Sen. Martha McSally, R-AZ) is also very likely to be overturned by the Democratic Party.
Senator McSally was appointed to represent Arizona in 2019 and is the only member of the current Senate who has never won a state election. McSally, a former member of the House of Representatives, faces a challenge from Mark Kelly, a former American astronaut and Democratic candidate who participated in political elections for the first time this year. Although Kelly is a political buff, his campaign funding has led McSally significantly, and the Democratic Party has high hopes that Kelly will win this seat.
Colorado:
Republican Senator Cory Gardner (R-CO), who was first elected to the Senate in 2014, is the chairman of the Asia-Pacific Group of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. In the past six years, he has introduced a number of China-related bills and many The second Taiwan vocal support. However, the state of Colorado represented by Gardner is a typical example of changing political trends. He was originally a Republican, but in recent years, the political leanings of local voters have begun to shift rapidly toward the Democratic Party. In 2016, President Trump lost about 5 percentage points in this state.
The Democratic candidate that Gardner is facing in this election is former Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper (John Hickenlooper). Hickenloper, who has the support of the state chassis, is coming fiercely, if Gardner can keep his seat it has become one of the most critical battlefields in this Senate election.
North Carolina:
The seat held by Republican Senator Thom Tillis (R-NC), who was also elected in 2014 and entered the Senate for the first time, is also the target of the Democratic Party. North Carolina is also a key state on the battlefield in this year’s presidential election.
The opponent Tillis faced this time was former North Carolina Senator Cal Cunningham. According to the analysis of the American media, both parties have spent a lot of money in the state. This battle for seats will trigger a “costly” electoral battle. Whether the Democratic Party can come back successfully it has attracted attention from all walks of life.
Iowa:
Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA) of Iowa is another Republican senator from the United States facing re-election at the end of his first term. Although Iowa, as an agricultural state, has traditionally favored Republican political leanings, President Trump also won 10% in the 2016 presidential election. However, in the 2018 midterm legislative elections, the Democratic Party surpassed two seats. Republicans in the state. The seat of the House of Representatives, the rise of Democratic power can not be ignored.
Ernst was the first US senator from Iowa. Democrats also sent a female candidate this year to challenge Theresa Greenfield, known as the “farm girl.” Ernst.
Montana:
Republican Senator Steve Daines (Senator Steve Daines, R-MT) is also the first federal senator to face planned re-election. The election of Dans, who was first elected to Congress in 2014, didn’t turn into a crisis until the Democratic Party successfully persuaded former state governor Steve Bullock to run for a seat.
Although Montana has long been regarded as a Red Conservative state (Republican supporting), Trump led the local area by more than 20 percentage points in the 2016 election, but Bullock, a Democrat, was also elected governor in the same year. . Broad public support. In the 2018 Congressional midterm elections, Senator Jon Tester (D-MT), the state’s Democratic nominee at the time, also successfully challenged and entered Congress and is now a federal senator. So whether Dans can fill this seat is also a concern.
Georgia:
Georgia, where political trends have changed rapidly in recent years, has put another first Republican US Senator, David Perdue (Sen. David Perdue, R-GA) to the test this year. Although Perdue’s campaign financing is optimistic, the fundraising skills of Democratic Party candidate Jon Ossoff cannot be underestimated. It is worth noting that according to Georgia’s electoral regulations, candidates must exceed 50% of their votes and obtain an absolute majority to declare victory. If no party gets more than half the support, special elections must be held again in January of next year. So people from all walks of life hope that Georgia won’t be able to smoothly elect new members of the Senate in November, and the actual result may not be announced until the January special election next year.
Maine:
Unlike most Republicans in other Senate battlefield states, who were mostly first-term senators, current Republican Senator Susan Collins (R-MN) is one of the most prominent members of the Republican Party in the Senate. Collins, who entered the Senate in 1996, is considered a moderate Republican and has worked with Democrats on various issues. However, this time the Democrats sent the Speaker of the Maine State Assembly, Sara Gideon (Sara Gideon), to challenge Collins, hoping to take his seat directly.
Editor in Charge: Li Yuan #
