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Original title: Loss of at least 39 billion per week! The century ship jam finally advanced 17 meters! Was the accident man-made? Official response
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[¡Pérdidadealmenos39milmillonesalasemana!¡Elatascodebarcosdelsiglofinalmentesemovió17metros!¿Elaccidentefueprovocadoporelhombre?Respuestaoficial]According to the People’s Daily Overseas website on the night of March 28, local time on 27, the beached Suez Canal freighter “Changci” began to move. The ship has moved 17 meters to the north. There are positive signs that at high tide the ship will soon float again. (Business herald of the 21st century)
The Suez Canal ship that has been stranded for a week has moved!
According to the People’s Daily Overseas Network on the night of March 28, local time on March 27,The Suez Canal ran aground the freighter “Long Ci” began to move, the ship has moved 17 meters north, there are positive signs that due to the high tide of the day, the ship will soon float again.
The beached Suez Canal freighter “Long Give” reported that rescuers have been able to move the stern and make the rudder and propeller work successfully. Osama, head of the Suez Canal Authority, said: “The stern has started to move. It is a positive sign.He added that the cause of the accident is “under investigation” and added that human error cannot be ruled out.
Waiting for 321 ships
You lost at least $ 6 billion in one week!
The huge ship that was stranded this time was named “Long Ci”. According to previous reports, in the early morning of March 23, the ship was suspected of having been hit by strong winds, causing its hull to drift and land. The 400-meter-long hull got stuck at both ends of the river embankment, blocking the canal laterally, causing the world’s busiest maritime commercial artery to be completely blocked. This is considered the worst congestion in the 150-year history of the canal.
This fifth day of the shipping crisis has heightened concerns about the global supply chain. Many European companies have warned that goods arriving from Asia will be delayed. The White House said on the 26th that the United States has equipment and capabilities that most countries do not have and is ready to provide assistance at any time.
The canal rent is the country of Egypt.Incomewithforeign exchange reservesOne of the main sources. Osama Rabyer, chairman of Egypt’s Suez Canal Authority, said on the 27th that Egypt has formulated multiple rescue plans for cargo ships that have been stranded in the Suez Canal.
Rabia told a press conference held in the province of Suez, Egypt that day that Egypt has formulated multiple rescue plans and that 14 tugs are currently conducting multi-directional rescue operations from stranded freighters. Due to the enormous size and cargo capacity of the freighter, coupled with the shallow water level at the shore connection, it is still impossible to know when the rescue will end. He said that once the rescue is complete, the specific reasons that led to the grounding of the freighter will be investigated.
Rabie said,Currently, there are 321 ships waiting north and south of the Suez Canal. The value of the containers in the canal alone is as high as 12 billion US dollars (approximately 78.5 billion yuan). The Egyptian side provided them with the necessary logistical services.
GermanySureThe latest research from the Allianz company shows thatThe blockade of the Suez Canal caused by the stranding could cost world trade between US $ 6 billion and US $ 10 billion per week.
Can coffee and toilet paper be out of stock?
The blockade of the Suez Canal can also affect the world’s supply of many commodities.
According to the US Market Watch, the price of liquefied natural gas has risen slightly due to the blocking of the canal. If the lockdown continues for two weeks, around 1 million tonnes of liquefied natural gas can be postponed to Europe.
The US Consumer Business and News Channel noted that shipping delays can affect all the items people order online.
According to Bloomberg News, the head of a Brazilian toilet paper pulp company said blocking the canal may delay the transport of pulp. If the manufacturer does not have enough inventory,Disruption of the pulp trade will eventually affect the supply of toilet paper. At the same time, there are still containers full of coffee blocked in the Suez Canal, due to the delay in transport, there may be a shortage of coffee in Europe.
The British daily “Lloyd Ship Daily” estimates that container cargo worth approximately US $ 9.6 billion passes through the Suez Canal every day, including clothing, household appliances and electronics.
Shipping prices, globalOil priceRocket
Aluminum prices are also affected
Several container shipping companies have reportedly indicated that they are considering a detour to the Cape of Good Hope in South Africa. Under normal circumstances, it takes about 12 days for a freighter to travel from the Suez Canal to Amsterdam, the Netherlands, while it takes 41 days to divert the Cape of Good Hope in South Africa. The journey increases by about 10,000 kilometers, and the additional cost is 7 million rand, approximately half a million US dollars.
Financial data company Refinitiv noted that it generally takes 11 days to travel from Egypt to Rotterdam in the Netherlands via the Suez Canal, but a detour to the Cape of Good Hope will add at least 26 days. The cost of fuel for the diversion is approximately US $ 30,000 per day.
Affected by this, the current freight rates for Capesize vessels have increased. Some shipowners said that if salvage work takes a long time, it may affect the freight rate of all segments Long haul in the Asia-Pacific regionRefined oilThe freight rate has now increased to a maximum in 2021 and is likely to increase again due to the accident.
According to a report by the Russian satellite news agency quoting Bloomberg News on the 26th,The blockade of the Suez Canal blocked the passage of almost $ 10 billion in cargo, causing a skyrocketing rise in shipping prices. For example, due to the stranded freighter, the price of transporting a 40-foot container from China to Europe has risen to almost US $ 8,000 (approximately RMB 52,328), which is almost three times more than a year ago.
International oil prices also fluctuated sharply for four days. Both were up more than 4% on Friday. WTI topped $ 61 at one point and then fell.
International Brent oil prices are back above $ 64.
Industrial base metals are also affected, especially aluminum prices. LME aluminum futures closed higher than US $ 52 on Friday, hitting US $ 2,298 / tonne, again approaching the high of more than two and a half years.
According to the analysis, this is mainly due to the sudden increase in demand for aluminum. The blockade of the Suez Canal has exacerbated supply concerns. “The blockade of the canal threatens a shortage of rare aluminum products globally that are vital to the transportation and construction industries.”
Advanced Metals from Wood Mackenzie ConsultingAnalystKamil Wlazly pointed out that the situation is getting a bit crazy and that the Suez Canal crisis may make the situation worse. As production from European and American factories increases and buyers compose inventory in advance, the supply of aluminum billet is rapidly shrinking.
Research organization Harbor Aluminum also said that up to three ships carrying 25,000 to 75,000 metric tons bound for the United States are currently blocked, which may increase the overall price of specialty aluminum by another 2% and may also increase the cost. transport of aluminum. To get closer to the highest level in history, “the usual delay in the transport of 75,000 tons for a week or two is not a major problem. Now that all ships are affected, it adds to the bullish psychology.”
The Japanese shipowner apologized and lost at least 900 million!
In recent days, the Japanese owner of the Long Grant has apologized for the accident that affected world trade.
The owner and owner of the ship, “Zhengrong Steamship,” said in a statement on Thursday: “We are cooperating with local authorities and the Bernhard Schulte Shipmanagement company (Bernhard Schulte Shipmanagement) in an attempt to make the ‘Changci’ float, but we are facing great difficulties. We sincerely apologize for the great concerns that have been caused to ships and related parties navigating the Suez Canal and planning to pass through the canal. “
Research by Allianz’s Global Companies and Specialties Business Unit (AGCS) shows that stranding is not a rare phenomenon, but the most common cause of canal transportation accidents. There have been 25 cases in the last 10 years. But the accident was unusual.
Some shipping lawyers believe this may turn out to be the world’s largest container ship claims disaster.SureThe claim includes Japanese shipowner Shoei Kisen KK and hisSureThe company may face claims from the Suez Canal Authority, and ships whose traffic has been disrupted or disrupted may also file claims for loss of revenue;The amount of compensation for damage to the hull and machinery of the container ship alone can be between US $ 100 and 140 million (approximately 910 million yuan);The owner of the cargo on the affected vessel can also file a claim for cargo damage or late delivery.
Japanese netizens quarreled with Taiwanese Chinese netizens
Taiwan Evergreen Shipping is reported to operate the “Long Grant”. Regarding the issue of double compensation, Evergreen Chairman Zhang Yanyi responded on the 25th, saying:Compensation for this accident is the responsibility of the shipowner. The accident represents a loss of goodwill for Evergreen, and compensation may be claimed from Japan on this basis. The compensation is rumored to be in the millions of dollars. .
According to the People’s Daily Overseas Network, Japanese netizens and Taiwanese Chinese netizens unleashed a “space war.”
A Japanese Internet forum published an article “Taiwan said the shipowner Japan was responsible for the canal accident.” Japanese netizens commented that “Taiwan has revealed its nature.” Some netizens even said, “I don’t want to buy bananas from Taiwan anymore.” . “Therefore, a netizen from Taiwan, China, replied from the air:” With the personality of the Japanese, it is normal to get angry. ” The Japanese Masaei Company apologized, what can I say. “
(Source: 21st Century Business Herald)
(Editor-in-charge: DF380)
I solemnly declare: The purpose of this information is to spread more information, and it has nothing to do with this booth.
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