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Editor’s note:
This week it officially enters March. What are the investment opportunities for A shares in March? There are currently 9BrokerageHe announced the monthly investment portfolio for March, optimistic about the procyclical sector, which involves non-banking, electrical, light industry, machinery, chemicals, household appliances and other fields.
The A-share market may gradually stabilize in March
How is the market going in March? The data shows that since 2001,The Shanghai Composite IndexIn March, there were 10 rises and 10 falls, which is exactly the same. The greatest increase occurred in 2009, when the accumulated increase in March of that year reached 13.94%. The greatest decrease occurred in 2008, with a cumulative decrease of 20.14% in March of that year. In March of last year, the Shanghai Composite Index fell slightly 4.51%.
Judging from the situation on the first trading day, the likelihood of A shares getting off to a good start in March is relatively high. Since 2001, there have been 15 rallies on the first trading day of March, with a 75% probability of increase.
Industrial valuesChief economist Wang Han believes that elevated valuations are a universal problem caused by the easing of global liquidity last year. Today, the domesticPerformanceHigh growthbusinessIt is still very competitive. After the start of this year, the effect of sectoral rotation appears and the value of more assets is being used.
Looking to the future,Guotai JunanThe index is expected to gradually stabilize in the short term. The post-holiday callback was mainly affected by the strong correction in white horse stocks in the institutional group. The trigger is the expected global economic recovery, the market is concerned about the liquidity tightening and the white horse sector appears to be undervalued.Shanghai indexThe 3,500 points is the design area, and there was strong support near the 3,450 points along the top edge of the cabinet last year for six months.
The aforementioned institutions also noted that the fundamentals of the stock market have not changed significantly, the national economy is steadily recovering, and the pricethe companyPerformance continues to improve; domestic liquidity tightening has not yet arrived.SavingsImproving equity financial asset allocation is a long-term trend and the stock market remains abundant. Therefore, the index is still in a volatile and tiered uptrend.
YueshengFinancial managementHe said that March will focus on three main lines of investment: first, the pro-cyclical direction that will benefit the economic recovery. Procyclical remains the main line of the market. Constant attention can be paid to low-value financial sectors. and aggressive price hike cycles can focus. Product; the second is the main line of politics, heavyweightmeetingSectors with policy expectations can attract financial attention, such as military industry, population, carbon neutrality, strategic technology, etc .; the third is the main line of performance, the annual report performance is announced one after another and the number of performance forecasts. in the mid to late quarter report will also increase significantly. Stocks over expected are event-drivenmotivationmeeting.
Gold Stock Exchange in March: Favorite Avoidance Cycle Sector
What are the investment opportunities for A shares in March? As of February 28, nine brokerages have announced their March monthly investment portfolios, involving non-banking, electrical, light industry, machinery, chemicals, household appliances and other fields.
According to incomplete statistics, on the “gold stocks” list of various securities firms,Poly Real EstateHe has received the most referrals and has been recommended by 4 brokerage firms, including Kaiyuan Securities. Real estate stocks experienced a daily cap wave in late February, and it’s worth noting thatPoly Real EstateIt showed an upward trend throughout February, with a cumulative increase of more than 12% in the month. What’s more,Kibing Group、China Pacific Insurance、Wanhua Chemical、Longji Actions、Ping An from China、Petrochemical by satellite、TopbandEtc. are recommended by more than 2 brokerages.
Although procyclical stocks showed a divergent trend in late February, brokers remain generally optimistic about the procyclical sector benefiting from the global economic recovery.
Huajin Securities noted that rebalancing the industry allocation style is recommended, and the increase in allocation will benefit more from the pro-cyclical global economic recovery. At the same time, it is recommended to pay attention to investment opportunities in Hong Kong stocks. Focus on four directions. First, it is recommended to increase the allocation of the mid-upstream and pro-cyclical sectors that benefit most from the recovery of the global supply system, including non-ferrous metals, chemicals, mining, steel, etc .; second, it is recommended to focus on relatively low-value midstream sectorsmanufacturing, Including machinery and equipment, construction materials, etc .; Third, the industry boom cycle is likely to continue in 2021, and the policy of the fourteenth five-year plan is expected to be relatively strong, focusing on industries such as new energy and high energy levels. Final teams, fourth, focused on appreciation Advance Hong Kong equity investment opportunities.
The Pacific OceanValuesInvestigation reportIt is noted that the procyclical expansion of the market, focusing on changing the design style of the leading industry segments, focusing on the leading industry segments; focusing on products that benefit from the economic recovery and have low valuations, such asBank、Sure; Focus on the benefitsDepartureBoost and replenish intermediate manufacturing such as chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and machinery. In terms of “internal cycle of consumption”, we pay attention to the optional consumption of cars, home appliances,Tourist Hotel, Aviation; In terms of “Inner Science and Technology Cycle”, focus on semiconductors, photovoltaics, new energy vehicles, military industry and cloud computing.
Tianfeng ValuesAccording to the research report, consideringindustryThe industry performance explosion is more likely to exceed expectations. Two main lines of high prosperity are recommended: first, to focus on production line equipment, upstream military and new energy; second, focus on global production cyclesRaw MaterialsAnd parts, such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, machinery, etc.
What’s more,Bank of China securitiesAccording to the research report, it is recommended to pay attention to the fundamental advantages and attractiveness of valuation when it is recommended to assign. For example, fundamentals that benefit from the improvement in the epidemic and economic recovery abroad are more certain than the improvement in fundamentals, or the adjusted valuation has a certain safety mat.
Funds are actively deployed in the procyclical sector
Statistics show that last weekShare31 stocks are on the list of active transactions. From an industry perspective, among the active stocks on the list last week,Nonferrous metalsThe industry is the most concentrated, with 5 stocks listed. The largest transaction amount isKweichow moutai, The accumulated turnover last week was 21.359 million yuan; followed byWuliangye, The cumulative amount of transactions is 13.17 billion yuan; there are higher transaction amountsFree china、It was Ningde、Midea GroupWait.
Based on the net amount of the transaction, among the stocks on last week’s listing, a total of 19 stocks were net purchases and the net purchase amount was the largest.It was Ningde, The net purchase amount for the week was 1.27 billion yuan, followed bySungrow, The net purchase amount is 1,235 million yuan, and there are other higher net purchasesVanke A、Industrial Bank、Ping An from China、Muyuan shares、Wanhua ChemicalWait. Among the net stocks sold, the major liquor stocks have the highest amount of net sales.Wuliangye, Net sales for the week amounted to 1.876 billion yuan, and there were more net salesKweichow moutai、Free china。
Capital to the northRecently, the company is intensely adjusting its positions and swapping shares, and the disposition of the procyclical sector.Vanke AThe real estate sector represented by a sudden surge has become one of the biggest hot spots in the market, and has also received the focus of capitals from the north.Add warehouse. Besides real estate,Sure、Bank, Chemicals, non-ferrous resources and other pro-cyclical sectors are actively trading Beijing Capital shares, such asIt was Ningde、Ping An from China、Sungrow、Vanke AWait for the pro cycle leader.Kweichow moutai、WuliangyeWaiting for the liquor tap has become the key sales target of Beijing Capital.
Also, according to Cinda Securities Research, the recent listingbackgroundThe cycle and consumer sectors increased. Specifically, it is recommended to configure the national defense industry,Nonferrous metals, Chemical industries and others Caixin Securities also said it should be balancedPositionProcyclical sectors with reasonable valuations, strong fundamentals in 2021 and high cost performance Focus on procyclical investments related to new energy, new infrastructure and high-end manufacturing, and focus on copper and aluminum related to recovery in infrastructure demand , household appliances and automobiles, benefiting fromOil priceIncrease in chemical products and new energy resources.
(Source: Investment Express)
(Responsible editor: DF524)
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